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RH Stock Slides 23% in 3 Months: Should You Buy the Dip or Wait?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-26 15:51
Core Viewpoint - RH, formerly known as Restoration Hardware, is experiencing a decline in share price due to softness in the U.S. housing market, which directly impacts its luxury home furnishing business [1][2][18]. Group 1: Current Performance - RH's share price has dropped 23.2% over the past three months, significantly underperforming the Hoya Capital Housing ETF (HOMZ), which declined by 4.9% [1]. - Compared to competitors like Williams-Sonoma, Ethan Allen, and Arhaus, RH has also lagged, with their share prices falling by 3.4%, 1.7%, and 9.2% respectively during the same period [3]. Group 2: Market Challenges - The ongoing softness in the U.S. housing market is weakening demand for renovations and luxury home furnishings, which is critical for RH's business [2][18]. - Tariff uncertainties and rising expenses due to brand expansion strategies are adding to the company's challenges [2]. Group 3: Growth Prospects - Despite current challenges, RH's long-term prospects are bolstered by strategic investments in its brand portfolio and global expansion efforts [4]. - The company has seen a 60% increase in demand in its European markets, particularly in Munich and Dusseldorf, indicating strong international appeal [5][8]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - RH is shifting its sourcing strategy to reduce reliance on China, projecting a decrease in receipts from 16% to 2% by the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 [10]. - The company aims to produce 52% of its upholstered furniture in the U.S. and 21% in Italy by the end of 2025 [10]. Group 5: Product Development - RH is evolving from a home furnishings retailer to a luxury lifestyle brand, focusing on product design and quality enhancement [11]. - The launch of new sourcebooks and the introduction of a new design aesthetic, Japandi, are part of its strategy to elevate its product offerings [12]. Group 6: Earnings Outlook - RH's fiscal 2025 EPS estimate has risen to $10.87, reflecting a 101.7% year-over-year growth [8][14]. - Although earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 have decreased to $14.77, this still indicates a 35.9% year-over-year growth [15]. Group 7: Valuation - RH's stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 15.04X, which is lower than its competitors, suggesting a potentially attractive valuation for investors [17].