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Buy, Sell or Hold Cisco Systems Stock? Key Tips Ahead of Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 17:25
Core Viewpoint - Cisco Systems is expected to report strong third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, driven by improved demand in networking and security products, despite facing some macroeconomic challenges [1][3][5]. Financial Expectations - Cisco anticipates third-quarter revenues between $13.9 billion and $14.1 billion, with non-GAAP earnings expected between 90 and 92 cents per share [1]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $14.05 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10.58%, while the earnings consensus is steady at 91 cents per share, indicating a growth of 3.41% year-over-year [2]. Key Growth Drivers - Improved demand for networking products, particularly in switching, enterprise routing, and industrial networking applications, is expected to benefit Cisco's results [3]. - The networking revenue estimate for the fiscal third quarter is $6.76 billion, indicating a 3.6% year-over-year growth [4]. - Cisco's security revenue is estimated at $2.195 billion, showing a significant year-over-year growth of 68.3%, driven by strong demand for solutions like XDR and Secure Access [4][5]. Market Performance - Cisco shares have gained 1% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's decline of 8.5% and the Computer Networking industry's return of 0.8% [6]. - However, Cisco's stock is considered to have a stretched valuation, with a forward 12-month P/S ratio of 4.08X, higher than the industry average of 3.89X [9]. Strategic Initiatives - Cisco's investments in AI, cloud, and security are expected to drive growth, with AI infrastructure orders exceeding $700 million in the first half of fiscal 2025 [12]. - The company is leveraging AI across its portfolio, including the launch of the Renewals Agent, an AI-driven solution, and enhancing customer experience through Agentic capabilities [13]. - Cisco's security business is benefiting from strong demand for Cisco Secure Access and XDR, with both solutions gaining over 1,000 customers in the past year [14]. Partnerships and Collaborations - Cisco's partnerships with major companies like Meta Platforms, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and ServiceNow are enhancing its market position [15]. - Collaboration with NVIDIA is expanding Cisco's data center infrastructure portfolio, while the partnership with ServiceNow integrates AI-driven security solutions [16][17]. Conclusion - Cisco's near-term results are expected to benefit from a robust networking and security business, supported by a strong partner ecosystem, despite facing tariff-related and macroeconomic challenges [18].
Cisco Down 11% in a Month: Should You Buy the Stock on the Dip?
ZACKS· 2025-04-22 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Cisco Systems (CSCO) shares have declined 10.8% in the past month, slightly outperforming the Zacks Computer Networking industry's decline of 11% and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's decline of 13.9% [1] Group 1: Market Challenges - Cisco's share price has been affected by a challenging macroeconomic environment and the rising threat of recession due to tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada, increasing the possibility of a trade war [1] - The company is facing stiff competition in the networking business [1] Group 2: AI and Security Growth - Cisco is aggressively pushing into AI, expanding its portfolio with AI factory architecture developed in collaboration with NVIDIA, which is expected to drive AI-driven revenues [2] - At the end of the first half of fiscal 2025, Cisco had AI infrastructure orders worth over $700 million and is on track to surpass $1 billion in AI infrastructure orders for fiscal 2025 [2] - Orders for AI-powered robotics and industrial security have grown more than 40% in the first half of fiscal 2025, with over 50% growth in the second quarter alone [3] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - Cisco's expanded partnership with NVIDIA aims to offer solutions for building AI-ready data center networks, with security being a core component [7] - The launch of 800-gig Nexus switches based on Cisco's 51.2 terabit Silicon One chip is expected to drive orders from AI-based cloud customers [7] Group 4: Security Business Performance - Cisco's security business is benefiting from strong demand for Cisco Secure Access and XDR, gaining over 1,000 customers in the past 12 months, with each product having roughly one million enterprise users [10] - The company has integrated Talos into Splunk's Enterprise Security 8.0 and launched several new solutions, including Cisco AI Defense, which addresses security challenges associated with AI adoption [11][12] Group 5: Financial Guidance - For fiscal 2025, Cisco expects revenues to be between $56 billion and $56.5 billion, with non-GAAP earnings projected between $3.68 and $3.74 per share [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cisco's fiscal 2025 revenues is $56.42 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 4.86% [13] Group 6: Valuation and Stock Performance - Cisco shares are trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 3.72X, higher than the industry average of 3.54X and competitors like NETGEAR and Extreme Networks [14] - The stock is currently trading below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend [17] Group 7: Investment Outlook - Cisco's expanding and innovative portfolio positions the company for sustained growth in the evolving tech landscape, particularly with its AI initiatives and security footprint [19] - The company carries a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting it may be a good time for investors to accumulate the stock [19]
Arista Networks vs. Cisco: Which Networking Stock is a Better Bet?
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 16:05
Core Insights - Arista Networks and Cisco Systems are leading players in the global networking industry, with Arista focusing on high-performance Ethernet switches and routers, while Cisco maintains a strong presence in the router and switch market and is expanding into network security [1][2][3] Group 1: Arista Networks - Arista holds a leadership position in 100-gigabit Ethernet switches and is gaining traction in 200-and-400-gig high-performance switching products, driven by solid demand trends among enterprise customers [4] - The company has introduced new cognitive Wi-Fi software and expanded its multi-cloud and cloud-native software product family, enhancing its competitive edge with a unified software stack [5] - Despite increased demand, Arista faces high operating costs, with total operating expenses rising around 20% to $431.3 million in Q4 2024, attributed to headcount increases and product introduction costs [6] Group 2: Cisco Systems - Cisco is expanding its AI capabilities across its portfolio, including the introduction of Webex AI Agent and AI-driven solutions for network management, which are expected to improve customer experience [7][8] - The company has partnered with NVIDIA to develop AI-ready data center networks, launching products like the NVIDIA-based CSCO AI POD, which is gaining traction among AI-based cloud customers [9] - Cisco is facing competitive pressure, leading to discounts and deals in response to competition from Arista and others, which may impact profitability and top-line growth due to declining new orders [10] Group 3: Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Arista's 2025 sales implies an 18% year-over-year growth, while Cisco's sales growth is estimated at 4.9%, with Cisco's EPS expected to decline by 0.3% [11][12] - Over the past year, Arista's stock has gained 12.1%, while Cisco has outperformed with a 19.8% increase [13] - From a valuation perspective, Cisco's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 14.76, significantly lower than Arista's 28.5, making Cisco appear more attractive [14] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Arista has shown steady revenue and EPS growth, but Cisco's superior Zacks Rank and better price performance suggest it may be a better investment option at the moment [15][16]