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Will Tariff Pressures Disrupt Ross Stores' Sourcing Advantage?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-16 14:51
Core Insights - Ross Stores, Inc. operates a chain of off-price retail apparel and home accessories stores, utilizing a successful business model that appeals to cost-conscious consumers [1] - The company is facing significant macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges, including tariff pressures and persistent inflation, which are impacting its cost structure and visibility into future performance [2][4] Financial Performance and Guidance - Management has withdrawn fiscal 2025 sales and earnings guidance due to uncertainties related to tariffs and macroeconomic conditions, leading to a more cautious outlook for the second quarter [3][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 EPS indicates a year-over-year decline of 1.4%, while fiscal 2026 EPS is expected to grow by 9% [10] Market Position and Valuation - Ross Stores' shares have decreased by 15.7% year to date, contrasting with the industry's growth of 2.3% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 19.66X, significantly lower than the industry average of 31.86X [9] Merchandise Sourcing and Cost Pressures - More than half of Ross Stores' merchandise is sourced from China, making the company vulnerable to rising tariff-related costs [4][10] - Although the company is implementing mitigation strategies such as supply-chain diversification and vendor negotiations, these may not fully alleviate the financial pressures [5]