Core Insights - Nabors Industries Ltd. (NBR) has significantly underperformed compared to its peers and relevant benchmarks, with a share price decline of 12.4% over the past year, while the Oil and Gas – Drilling sub-industry grew by 4.8% [1][8] - The company faces operational challenges, market volatility, and ineffective business strategies, impacting its market position [3] Financial Performance - NBR's adjusted EBITDA decreased from $248 million in Q2 2025 to $236 million in Q3 2025, indicating pressure on profitability despite divesting a high-margin business [4] - The company is projected to have breakeven adjusted free cash flow for the full year 2025, limiting its capacity for debt reduction or shareholder returns [10] Market Challenges - The U.S. Lower 48 drilling market is experiencing muted activity and ongoing pressure, with a decline in average rig count and daily margins due to labor inefficiencies and harsh drilling conditions [5] - Operations in Mexico are facing significant uncertainty, with potential suspensions of offshore platform rigs and collection issues from PEMEX, leading to cash flow challenges [6][9] Capital Expenditures and Debt Management - NBR's capital expenditures are high, estimated at $715-$725 million for 2025, with no expected decline in 2026, consuming cash and limiting financial flexibility [10] - The reduction in net debt to a decade low was primarily due to a one-time asset sale, raising questions about the sustainability of leverage improvement without further divestitures [11] Segment Performance - The Drilling Solutions segment's EBITDA showed only modest growth, with competitive pressures limiting pricing power in a challenging market [12] - The Rig Technologies segment reported a decline in EBITDA due to reduced demand for aftermarket offerings, reflecting a broader slowdown in capital equipment spending [16] Future Outlook - Management's guidance for Q4 2025 indicates stagnation in total EBITDA, with expectations of a decline in specific segments, suggesting a lack of operational momentum [15] - The company's dependence on the SANAD joint venture in Saudi Arabia raises concentration risk, as its success is tied to the capital spending plans of a single national oil company [14]

3Q 2025 Earnings Presentation NABORS INDUSTRIES October 29, 2025 NABORS INDUSTRIES Forward-Looking Statements We often discuss expectations regarding our future markets, demand for our products and services, and our performance in our annual, quarterly, and current reports, press releases, and other written and oral statements. Such statements, including statements in this document that relate to matters that are not historical facts, are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the safe harbor pr ...

Core Viewpoint - Nabors Industries Ltd. reported a wider-than-expected adjusted loss in Q1 2025, primarily due to lower operating income from its U.S. Drilling segment, despite beating revenue estimates driven by international operations [1][2]. Financial Performance - The adjusted loss per share was $7.5, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $2.64 and a loss of $5.16 in the same quarter last year [1]. - Operating revenues were $736.2 million, exceeding the estimate of $718 million but down from $743.9 million year-over-year [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $206.3 million from $221 million a year ago, missing the model estimate of $221.6 million [2]. Segmental Performance - U.S. Drilling revenues were $230.7 million, down 15.2% from $272 million year-ago, but above the estimate of $221.6 million. Operating profit was $31.6 million, down from $50.5 million [7]. - International Drilling revenues increased to $381.7 million from $349.4 million year-ago, beating the estimate of $357.1 million. Operating profit rose to $33 million from $22.5 million [8]. - Drilling Solutions segment revenues totaled $93.2 million, up 23.3% from $75.6 million year-ago, exceeding the estimate of $78.7 million. Operating income increased to $32.9 million from $26.9 million [9]. - Rig Technologies revenues were $44.2 million, down 11.9% from $50.2 million year-ago, missing the estimate of $47.6 million. Operating profit was $4.3 million, slightly up from $4.2 million [10]. Strategic Developments - Nabors finalized the acquisition of Parker Wellbore, enhancing its portfolio with complementary assets and expected to be accretive to free cash flow in 2025 [3]. - The SANAD joint venture deployed new rigs, expected to significantly boost adjusted EBITDA and support natural gas development [4]. - A strategic alliance with Corva AI was expanded to integrate AI-driven analytics into Nabors' RigCLOUD platform, enhancing operational performance [5]. Financial Position - Total costs and expenses decreased to $670.6 million from $736.9 million year-ago, below the prediction of $711.4 million [12]. - As of March 31, 2025, Nabors had $404.1 million in cash and short-term investments, with long-term debt of approximately $2.7 billion [12]. Guidance and Outlook - For Q2 2025, Nabors expects U.S. Drilling rig count to range from 63-64 rigs with a daily adjusted gross margin of about $14,100 [14]. - International rig count is anticipated to be 85-86 rigs, with a daily adjusted gross margin of approximately $17,700 [15]. - Capital expenditures for Q2 2025 are projected to be between $220 million and $230 million, with full-year expectations of $770-$780 million [17]. - Adjusted free cash flow for the full year is expected to be around $80 million, with SANAD consuming about $150 million [18]. - The SANAD Joint Venture's 2025 EBITDA is expected to exceed $300 million, with plans for an IPO under review [19].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from operations for Q1 2025 was $736 million, a slight increase of $6 million or 1% from the previous quarter [40] - Total adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $206.3 million, down from $220.5 million in the fourth quarter, reflecting a decline of $14 million [45][46] - U.S. drilling revenue decreased by $11 million or 4.5% sequentially to $231 million [41] - Average daily rig margins in the Lower 48 came in just under $14,300, down $660 or 4% from the fourth quarter [47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The international drilling segment generated revenue of $382 million, an increase of $10.3 million or 3% from the prior quarter, driven by activity increases in key markets [44] - Drilling Solutions revenue increased by $17.2 million or 22.6% to $93.2 million, benefiting from the addition of Parker operations [44][52] - Rig Technologies segment revenue declined by $12 million sequentially to $44.2 million, primarily due to lower capital equipment deliveries in the Middle East [45] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Lower 48 market average quarterly rig count remained stable, with Nabors exiting Q1 with 62 rigs operating [41][39] - The international rig count increased slightly from 84.8 to 85 rigs during the quarter, aided by Parker's contribution [44] - The survey of 14 operators indicated a projected 4% reduction in rig count from the end of Q1 through the end of 2025 [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on achieving $40 million in cost synergies from the Parker acquisition during 2025 [6][31] - There is a strategic emphasis on international markets, particularly in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, where new rigs are expected to contribute positively to earnings [19][50] - The company aims to reduce debt and improve free cash flow, with a target of generating free cash in 2025 despite cash consumption [28][54] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the macro environment is challenging due to OPEC+ output adjustments and high U.S. shale production, but there are signs of recovery in natural gas activity [7][8] - The company expects a slight increase in rig count in Q2, driven by deployments in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait [39] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate through short-term disruptions while positioning for future growth [59] Other Important Information - The company suspended operations in Russia due to U.S. sanctions and does not expect to resume activities there [11][38] - The company has made significant progress in capturing planned synergies from the Parker acquisition, with a focus on corporate cost reductions [57][80] Q&A Session Summary Question: Has the company started accruing any debt in the SANAD joint venture? - Management confirmed that there is no current plan to accrue debt in the SANAD joint venture [64] Question: Is Saudi Aramco finished with rig releases, or are more expected this quarter? - Management provided details on rig suspensions and additions, indicating a wait-and-see approach regarding future releases [65][66] Question: Which business segment is most affected by tariffs? - Management indicated that the impact of tariffs is more significant on spare parts and pumps rather than drill pipe, with mitigation strategies in place [72] Question: How does the company view the potential for an IPO of SANAD? - Management acknowledged that an IPO is a potential path for value realization, especially given the attractive valuations in the Middle East [77] Question: What is the expected corporate run rate for the second quarter with Parker's full contribution? - Management indicated that Parker's contribution should be in the mid-40s for the second quarter, with ongoing synergy capture [90]