Core Insights - The industry is currently facing low utilization rates, projected to be below the normalized cross-cycle average of 90% to 95%, leading to a supply-demand imbalance of over 500,000 tons. This situation is unsustainable, prompting expectations for a medium to long-term rebalancing of supply and demand [1][20]. - The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $18 million for Q3, significantly up from $26 million in the same period last year, driven by fixed cost reductions and increased shipment volumes [4][15]. - A non-cash impairment of goodwill amounting to $48 million was recorded, primarily due to a decline in market capitalization compared to book value [14][15]. - The company is exploring a project to add CUK swing capacity to one of its SBS machines, with an estimated capital requirement of $50 million and a projected return of over 20% [10][11]. Industry Overview - The industry is experiencing margin pressure due to low utilization rates, with forecasts indicating a potential net capacity reduction of approximately 350,000 tons by 2026, which could improve utilization rates above 90% [1][20]. - Competitors are ramping up new SPS capacity, potentially adding 10% to the industry's supply, which could further lower utilization rates to the low 80% range by year-end [2]. - The current oversupply is primarily in SBS, but it is affecting other paperboard substrates, with historical pricing correlations observed between SBS, CUK, and CRB [6][7]. Financial Performance - Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations reached $87 million, up from $26 million last year, attributed to fixed cost reductions and additional months of results from the Augusta facility [4][15]. - Net sales for the quarter were $399 million, reflecting a 1% year-over-year increase, driven by a 3% rise in paperboard shipment volumes [14][15]. - The company generated $34 million in cash from operations during the quarter, maintaining a strong balance sheet with a net leverage ratio of 2.7 times and available liquidity of $455 million [16]. Future Outlook - For Q4, the company expects adjusted EBITDA between $13 million and $23 million, anticipating slightly lower paperboard shipments due to seasonality [17]. - Initial assumptions for 2026 include projected revenue of $1.45 to $1.55 billion and a capacity utilization rate in the mid-80% range, with capital expenditures estimated at $65 to $75 million [18][19]. - The company aims to achieve over $20 million in working capital improvements, primarily in inventory, with expectations to start seeing results in the second half of next year [19][39].