Core Insights - The Q4 earnings season is expected to shift investor focus from macroeconomic factors to corporate earnings releases as reporting accelerates [1] - Corporate earnings expectations have improved, with estimates trending higher, indicating a potential for strong performance [2] Revenue Growth Expectations - Total S&P 500 earnings for Q4 are projected to increase by 7.9% year-over-year, driven by an 8.2% rise in revenues [3] - Seven out of 16 sectors in the S&P 500 are anticipated to experience a decline in earnings, while only two sectors are expected to see revenue declines [3] Sector-Specific Revenue Growth - **Construction**: Expected revenue growth of 17.8% in Q4, following 1.5% growth in Q3, with a projected annual growth to $1.27 trillion by 2025 [5] - **Technology**: Anticipated revenue growth of 16.3% in Q4, up from 15.5% in Q3, supported by strong economic fundamentals [6] - **Aerospace**: Projected revenue growth of 12% in Q4, down from 14.6% in Q3, benefiting from geopolitical tensions and a growing space sector [7] - **Finance**: Expected revenue growth of 9.4% in Q4, following 8.4% growth in Q3, driven by increased investment banking fees and favorable market conditions [8] - **Utilities**: Anticipated revenue growth of 9.4% in Q4, up from 7.6% in Q3, as demand for electricity surges due to AI-driven data center construction [9] Conclusion - Revenue growth is considered a more reliable indicator of a company's strength compared to earnings, as sales figures are less susceptible to manipulation [4][10] - The construction and technology sectors are leading in revenue growth for Q4, with specific ETFs like PAVE and XLK highlighted for potential investment [10]