Core Insights - Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK) stock has increased by 13.9% over the past year, outperforming the Business - Information Services industry growth of 9.1% and the Zacks S&P 500 composite rise of 8.3% [1] Financial Performance - VRSK's revenues are projected to grow by 6.7% in 2025 and 7% in 2026, while earnings are expected to rise by 6.2% in 2025 and 11% in 2026 [3] - The company has a long-term earnings per share growth rate estimated at 11.4% [3] - In Q1 2025, VRSK reported revenues of $753 million, reflecting a 7% increase overall and a 7.9% increase on an organic constant-currency basis [4][8] - Underwriting revenues grew by 6.8% (7.2% OCC), driven by strong performance in various services [4] - Claims revenues increased by 7.5% (9.6% OCC), highlighting growth in property estimating and anti-fraud solutions [5] Strategic Developments - The introduction of the SRCC model enhances political violence risk modeling, allowing insurers to utilize a forward-looking approach [6] - Verisk's acquisition of Nasdaq's Risk Modelling for Catastrophes (NRMC) in April 2025 strengthens its catastrophe risk modeling capabilities [7][9] - NRMC provides access to over 300 third-party and custom models, enhancing risk analysis across the insurance value chain [9] Shareholder Returns - VRSK has consistently returned value to shareholders, paying over $188 million in dividends annually since 2021 and increasing share repurchases from $475 million in 2021 to $2.8 billion in 2023 [10] - In Q1 2025, the company returned more than $250 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases, and initiated a $200 million Accelerated Share Repurchase program [10][11]

Core Insights - The insurance industry has faced over USD 10 billion in insured losses from strikes, riots, and civil commotion (SRCC) since 2010, significantly higher than the less than USD 1 billion attributed to terrorism [1][2] - Verisk has introduced the first catastrophe model specifically for SRCC events in the U.S. to help insurers quantify financial impacts and enhance risk management strategies [1][4] Group 1: Financial Impact of SRCC Events - Since 2010, global insured losses from SRCC events exceed USD 10 billion, while terrorism-related losses are below USD 1 billion [2] - In the last six years, five SRCC events have each caused over USD 1 billion in global insured losses [2] - The U.S. has experienced approximately USD 3 billion in insured losses from SRCC events [2] Group 2: Verisk's SRCC Model - The SRCC Model features a 500,000-year stochastic catalog that assesses the frequency and severity of unrest across every ZIP Code in the U.S. [3] - The model evaluates key risk drivers, including social and economic trends, political factors, and historical protest patterns [3] - It aims to provide enhanced insights for exposure management and catastrophe modeling, moving beyond traditional historical data [3] Group 3: Underwriting and Risk Management - Verisk's SRCC Model is designed to empower insurers to improve underwriting strategies and make informed decisions regarding pricing, capital allocation, and risk management [4] - The model combines nearly 40 years of catastrophe modeling expertise with over 15 years of experience in quantifying political violence [4] - It allows insurers to estimate potential insured losses, create robust underwriting guidelines, and assess tail risk through plausible extreme scenarios [6]