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东吴证券:光伏设备、硅基HJT是太空光伏的最优方案 看好设备商受益于太空光伏历史性机遇
智通财经网· 2026-01-15 03:25
Core Insights - The global satellite launch surge is driving the demand for space photovoltaic technology to the GW level, with silicon-based HJT being the optimal solution due to its lightweight and low-cost advantages [1][2] - The overseas photovoltaic market, particularly in the U.S., is experiencing strong growth, providing opportunities for Chinese equipment manufacturers to benefit from international expansion [1][2] Group 1: Satellite Launch and Photovoltaic Demand - The number of global satellite launches is increasing exponentially, with China applying for permissions for 200,000 low-orbit satellites and SpaceX accelerating the construction of its 42,000 Starlink satellites, leading to a significant demand for GW-level space photovoltaics [2] - Traditional gallium arsenide batteries face challenges in capacity, cost, and raw materials, making silicon-based HJT the preferred short-term alternative, with a future shift towards perovskite-HJT tandem cells [2] Group 2: Overseas Market and Equipment Manufacturers - The U.S. photovoltaic market is experiencing robust customer demand, with a projected compound annual growth rate of over 20% for installed capacity from 2024 to 2029, and an expected installation capacity exceeding 60 GW by 2025 [2] - Chinese photovoltaic equipment holds a dominant position globally, with over 80% of the world's capacity in silicon materials, wafers, cells, and modules expected in 2024 [2] - Key market shares for equipment manufacturers in 2024 include: 70%-80% for Jinglong Technology's single crystal furnaces, over 50% for High Precision's slicing machines, 70%-80% for Maiwei's HJT production line equipment, and 70% for Aotwei's string welding machines [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The company recommends focusing on silicon and perovskite battery technologies for space applications, highlighting leading companies such as Maiwei (HJT production line equipment), Jinglong Technology (low-oxygen single crystal furnaces), Aotwei (0BB string welding machines), and High Precision (slicing equipment) [3] - Additional attention is suggested for integrated equipment manufacturers like Jiejia Weichuang and perovskite equipment manufacturers like Jing Shan Light Machine [3]