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FSLR vs. CSIQ: U.S. Thin-Film Leader or Global Volume Player?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-26 16:10
Core Insights - The rising demand for solar energy is attracting investor interest in companies within the solar value chain, particularly First Solar (FSLR) and Canadian Solar (CSIQ) [1][2] Group 1: Industry Trends - Solar power is rapidly growing as a solution for cleaner energy, with significant increases in solar photovoltaic (PV) installations across various markets [2] - Government incentives, corporate decarbonization efforts, and consumer adoption of renewable technologies are driving the surge in solar deployment [2] Group 2: First Solar (FSLR) Overview - First Solar is expanding its manufacturing capacity to meet global solar demand, producing 3.6 gigawatts (GW) and selling 5.3 GW of modules in Q3 2025, with a total nameplate capacity of 23.5 GW [3] - The company is adding a new 3.7 GW module finishing line in the U.S., expected to begin operations in late 2026, which will enhance its global presence and revenue growth [3] - A new $1.1 billion AI-enabled manufacturing facility in Louisiana will add 3.5 GW of annual capacity, improve quality control, and reduce costs while using U.S.-sourced materials [4] Group 3: Canadian Solar (CSIQ) Overview - Canadian Solar is a vertically integrated clean-energy company, known for high-quality crystalline silicon solar panels and expanding into energy infrastructure, including large-scale solar power plants and energy-storage projects [5] - The company secured a German battery energy storage system contract in November 2025, marking a strategic shift towards becoming a full-fledged energy-storage and grid-solutions provider [6] Group 4: Financial Performance and Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for First Solar's 2025 earnings per share (EPS) indicates a decrease of 3.25%, while Canadian Solar's EPS estimates show increases of 18.94% for 2025 and 61.5% for 2026 [8][10] - First Solar has a total debt to capital ratio of 5.8%, significantly lower than Canadian Solar's 60.41% [11] - In the past six months, FSLR shares have risen by 64.8%, while CSIQ shares have increased by 149.5% [12] Group 5: Valuation Comparison - FSLR shares trade at a forward Price/Sales (P/S F12M) multiple of 4.56, compared to CSIQ's P/S F12M of 0.22, indicating a significant valuation difference [13] Group 6: Strategic Positioning - Both companies operate in the solar market but with different strategies; Canadian Solar focuses on scale and a diversified clean-energy ecosystem, while First Solar emphasizes high-efficiency thin-film technology and U.S.-based production [14] - Currently, Canadian Solar is favored due to its better price performance and earnings growth compared to First Solar [15]