Solid Bleached Sulfate (SBS) folding carton
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Clearwater Paper(CLW) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $18 million, at the high end of the guidance range of $10 to $20 million, with year-to-date adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations at $87 million, up from $26 million in the same period last year [4][13] - Net sales reached $399 million, a 1% increase year over year, driven by a 3% increase in paperboard shipment volumes, partially offset by lower market pricing [13] - Net loss from continuing operations was $54 million, or $3.34 per diluted share, primarily due to a $48 million non-cash goodwill impairment [13][14] - The company generated $34 million in cash from operations during the quarter and approximately $3.5 million in free cash flows, with a net leverage ratio of 2.7 times and available liquidity of $455 million [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company successfully completed all three planned major maintenance outages for 2025, with the Lewiston outage costing $24 million and the Augusta outage costing $16 million [4][5] - Fixed cost reduction initiatives are tracking to around $50 million in savings for the year, exceeding the original estimate of $30 to $40 million [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The industry is facing margin pressure due to low utilization rates, projected to be in the low 80% range by year-end, significantly below the normalized cross-cycle average of 90 to 95% [6] - RECI forecasts a net capacity reduction of approximately 350,000 tons in the first half of 2026, which could drive utilization rates above 90% [7][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is exploring adding coated unbleached kraft (CUK) swing capability to one of its solid bleached sulfate (SBS) machines, with an estimated capital requirement of approximately $50 million and a projected return of over 20% [11][12] - The company remains focused on defending its SBS market share and preserving the strength of its balance sheet, with plans to revisit the CUK investment decision in the future [12][23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term fundamentals of the paperboard market, emphasizing the demand for sustainable and renewable packaging solutions [19] - The company expects adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 to be between $13 to $23 million, anticipating slightly lower paperboard shipments due to seasonality [16] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $2 million of shares, bringing the total to $20 million against a $100 million authorization [15] - Initial assumptions for 2026 include revenue of around $1.45 to $1.55 billion and capital expenditures of $65 to $75 million [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Decision to hold the CUK swing capacity project - The decision to hold the project is based on prioritizing a strong balance sheet and maintaining a leverage ratio in the 1 to 2% range, with a focus on running SBS mills [22][23] Question: Market outlook for SBS and import relief - The company is cautiously optimistic about market rebalancing and has observed a 10% decrease in European imports year to date, indicating potential import relief [24][25] Question: Maintenance schedule for 2026 - The maintenance costs for 2026 are expected to be similar to 2025 levels, with specific schedules to be finalized and communicated in February [26][27] Question: Incremental strength in shipments and product categories - The company noted strong performance in food service sales, with optimism from customers and potential import relief contributing to demand [31][32] Question: Working capital improvements for 2026 - The target for working capital improvements of over $20 million will primarily focus on inventory reductions, expected to be achieved in the second half of the year [36][38]