Spyder Trust (SPY)
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Another Record-Beating Month Ahead?
Forbes· 2025-11-01 01:23
Market Performance - The S&P 500 increased by 2.3% in September 2025, slightly below the 2.6% gain in September 2023, indicating a positive trend despite historically weak September performances [2] - From 2000 to 2024, the average return for September was -1.6%, with five years experiencing declines over 7%, highlighting the unusual strength in recent years [2] Sector Performance - In October, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) was the top performer, rising by 4.8%, while the Dow Jones Industrials and iShares Russell 2000 gained 2.5% and 1.8%, respectively [3] - The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) experienced a late-month drop but still ended October up 3.6% [3] Technical Analysis - The QQQ surpassed the yearly R2 resistance at $623.76, reaching a high of $637.01, with a significant support level now at $589.05 [3] - The NDX 100 Advance/Decline line has been above its WMA since January 2023 and confirmed a new high in October, indicating a bullish trend [4] - The Spyder Trust (SPY) reached a high of $689.70 in October, marking its longest winning streak since August 2021, with support at $636.32 [6] Broader Market Indicators - The NYSE Composite closed at 21,459 in October, down 0.5%, but above the yearly R1 at 20,798, indicating mixed performance [8] - The NYSE All A/D line has been leading the market and closed in October just below the September high, with strong support levels [10] - Despite positive monthly analysis, the weekly NYSE Stocks Only A/D line has shown divergence from prices, suggesting potential caution [11]
Are Growth Stocks Ready For A Rest Or Just A Nap?
Forbes· 2025-08-15 20:50
Group 1 - The stock market rally from April-May has been primarily driven by growth stocks, with a notable focus on the MAGA 7 stocks, which experienced a loss of $1 trillion in value due to Trump's tariff plans [2] - Growth stocks have consistently outperformed market averages, with the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) and Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) showing significant gains compared to the S&P 500 [3] - The IWF has increased by 15%, while QQQ has gained just above 14%, compared to an 11% gain in SPY and only 5.5% in IWD, indicating a substantial opportunity for investors [3] Group 2 - The NDX 100 Advance/Decline line has been making new highs, with the QQQ reaching a high of $583.32 on August 14, although a divergence was noted with the A/D line forming a lower high [5] - The relative performance of QQQ completed a bottom formation on April 24, and has continued to support price action, with a drop below July lows indicating a potential shift in market leadership [6] - The ratio of iShares Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) to iShares Russell 1000 Value (IWD) has shown a strong uptrend, indicating a favorable environment for growth stocks over the past five years [9] Group 3 - The weekly ratio charts for IWF/IWD are positive, with an upside breakout above resistance noted at the end of July, although a short-term pullback may occur [10] - There are currently no warning signs from the monthly or weekly A/D lines, and low cash levels reported in the BofA Global Fund Manager Survey suggest a cautious outlook for the near term [11]