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Is Digital Adoption Strengthening Dutch Bros' Drive-Thru Model?
ZACKS· 2026-02-18 18:40
Key Takeaways Dutch Bros posted 7.7% Q4 same-shop sales growth, driven by 5.4% transaction gains.Order Ahead made up 14% of Q4 transactions as loyalty reached 72% of system sales.Dutch Bros sees 3%-5% same-shop sales growth in 2026 with 181 new shops planned.Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) exited 2025 with higher digital engagement embedded in its predominantly drive-thru operating model. During the fourth quarter, Order Ahead represented approximately 14% of system transactions, reflecting increased customer use of ...
Starbucks Investor Day: “Back to Starbucks” plan, Rewards revamp, and FY2028 margin targets unveiled
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-30 14:06
Core Insights - Starbucks has launched its "Back to Starbucks" turnaround plan, focusing on core differentiators such as coffee craft, partner-led service, and a welcoming coffeehouse experience [4][22] - The company aims for financial targets including ≥3% comparable sales growth, ≥5% net revenue growth, operating margins of 13.5%–15%, and EPS of $3.35–$4.00 by fiscal 2028 [5][21] Operational Changes - The "Back to Starbucks" plan includes operational resets based on customer feedback, emphasizing timely service and simplified store operations [2][7] - Investments are being made in customer experience, including the rollout of Green Apron Service, which is the largest investment in this area to date [2][12] - Starbucks is shifting from costly remodels to lower-cost overnight store "uplifts" costing approximately $150,000 per store, aiming to add over 25,000 seats across the U.S. by the end of fiscal 2026 [13] Product and Menu Innovations - A new dark roast blend called 1971 Roast and Clover Coffee equipment for freshly ground coffee will be introduced [3][7] - Menu innovations include new espresso, matcha, and chai beverages, with a focus on customization, which has become a significant revenue driver [8][15] - The company plans to expand its bakery offerings and introduce a $2 billion platform for Refreshers, including Energy Refreshers [15] Loyalty Program Revamp - Starbucks will relaunch its loyalty program as "Reimagine" on March 10, featuring three tiers and faster earning potential [6][10] - The program has over 35 million active members and accounts for nearly 60% of U.S. company-operated revenue [10] International Strategy - Starbucks is transitioning approximately 8,000 coffeehouses in China to a licensed model, which is expected to increase international operating margins to the high teens [18] - The international segment includes over 22,000 coffeehouses in 88 markets, contributing about 20% of total company revenue in fiscal 2025 [17] Financial Framework - The company has invested over $500 million in labor, store uplifts, and partner benefits while streamlining non-retail G&A [20] - For fiscal 2026, Starbucks anticipates global comparable sales growth of 3% or better and EPS guidance of $2.15–$2.40 [21]
Starbucks to reintroduce tiers to loyalty program to encourage more visits
CNBC· 2026-01-29 14:07
Core Insights - Starbucks is reintroducing a tiered loyalty program in North America to encourage more frequent visits from coffee drinkers as part of its broader turnaround strategy [1] - The loyalty program, Starbucks Rewards, has been a significant contributor to the company's revenue, accounting for 60% of total revenue in fiscal 2025 [2] - The previous two-tiered system was eliminated in 2019 to engage new members, but the company now believes it did not adequately reward its most loyal customers [3] Company Strategy - The tiered loyalty program will be reintroduced on March 10, featuring three levels to better reward frequent customers [4] - The company aims to balance enticing rewards for members while maintaining profit margins [3] - Executives are sharing plans to drive future sales growth and profitability, emphasizing the importance of the loyalty program [1]
Starbucks Rewards moves to a tiered structure
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-29 11:00
This story was originally published on Restaurant Dive. To receive daily news and insights, subscribe to our free daily Restaurant Dive newsletter. Dive Brief: Starbucks is adding three status tiers based primarily on consumer spending to its Rewards program beginning on March 10, according to an emailed press release.  A Starbucks spokesperson said the basic cost to redeem items using Stars — as the chain calls its points — has not changed and the tiers increase the availability of rewards and redemptio ...
Starbucks Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 15:09
Core Insights - Starbucks reported strong top-line growth driven by transactions in Q1 of fiscal 2026, with a focus on improving margins and earnings over time [3][4] Financial Performance - North America revenue increased by 3% to $7.3 billion, with comparable store sales growing by 4% [2] - Global revenue rose by 5% to $9.9 billion, with comparable sales up by 4% and 128 net new stores opened [6] - International revenue increased by 10% to $2.1 billion, with comparable sales up by 5%, particularly strong in China [14] Strategic Initiatives - The "Back to Starbucks" turnaround plan and the rollout of the Green Apron service standard contributed to accelerating comparable sales growth and improving transaction trends [4][6] - Starbucks is investing in its in-store environment through the Coffeehouse Uplift program, with about 200 uplifts completed so far [11] Digital Engagement - Starbucks Rewards reached a record 35.5 million active members, with transactions growing year over year for the first time in eight quarters [12] - The company aims to enhance marketing strategies to appeal to both frequent and infrequent customers, focusing on engagement rather than discounting [13] Cost Management and Future Outlook - Starbucks plans to track down about $2 billion in costs over the next couple of years, focusing on G&A, procurement, and technology-driven efficiencies [20] - For fiscal 2026, the company targets global comparable sales growth of 3% or better, with net new stores expected to be around 600-650 [5][18] - EPS is projected to be between $2.15 and $2.40, with expectations for margin improvement in the latter half of the fiscal year [19]
Will Dutch Bros' Loyalty Program Cement Its Transaction Growth Runway?
ZACKS· 2025-10-01 15:05
Core Insights - Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) is intensifying its focus on customer loyalty amidst increasing competition in the beverage category, with an expected same-shop sales growth of approximately 4.5% in 2025 driven by the Dutch Rewards program [1][8] Customer Loyalty and Engagement - In Q2 2025, Dutch Rewards accounted for 72% of system transactions, a 5 percentage point increase from the previous year, attributed to improved segmentation and personalized offers [2][8] - The program has facilitated the adoption of new initiatives, with order ahead transactions representing 11.5% and a food pilot in 64 shops contributing to incremental ticket and transaction growth, particularly among Rewards members [3][8] Technological Enhancements - The company is enhancing its operational capabilities with new functionalities, including improved dashboards for shop-level teams and ongoing app improvements to streamline the mobile ordering experience [4] Strategic Positioning - Management identifies significant growth potential in the morning segment, where mobile ordering and food options are expected to increase transaction frequency, positioning loyalty as a key driver of growth rather than merely a marketing tool [5] Competitive Landscape - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) exemplifies a mature loyalty program with 34 million active Rewards members, focusing on enhancing personalization and engagement through upcoming app upgrades in 2026 [6] - Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) is undergoing a loyalty program transition that initially impacted performance but is expected to yield positive results as active membership and frequency improve through personalized offers [7]
Chipotle's Rewards Engine Gains Traction: Can It Drive Traffic?
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 16:05
Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) is focusing on enhancing customer loyalty through its digital rewards platform amid volatile consumer sentiment, with comparable sales expected to remain flat in 2025 [1] - The company is leveraging personalized engagement and gamified promotions to maintain customer traffic and frequency [1] Group 1: Loyalty Program Initiatives - In Q2 2025, Chipotle launched "Summer of Extras," a seasonal rewards program that engaged 5 million participants, with 40% completing transactions, including 2 million low-frequency users who increased their activity [2][9] - Loyalty enrollments rose by 14% year-over-year in Q2, with active members reaching approximately 20 million [2][9] - An AI-powered "welcome journey" has generated a 46-47% increase in engagement among new customers, while a "win-back journey" is set to target lapsed customers with tailored offers [3] Group 2: Impact on Business Performance - The rewards program is reshaping traffic patterns, driving incremental transactions, and providing a buffer against macroeconomic softness, while creating a more personalized digital ecosystem [4] - Chipotle's strategic focus on rewards is crucial for stabilizing sales momentum as consumer spending patterns evolve, with significant opportunities to engage inactive members [5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG) is undergoing a loyalty program reset, which has temporarily impacted performance but is expected to turn into a tailwind as active membership grows [6] - Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) has a mature loyalty program with 34 million active members, focusing on enhancing personalization and operational improvements to drive repeat purchases [7] Group 4: Financial Performance and Valuation - Chipotle's stock has declined by 18.7% over the past six months, compared to a 7.9% decline in the industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 4.04, above the industry average of 3.63 [12] - Zacks Consensus Estimate projects an 8% and 17.7% year-over-year increase in earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with recent EPS estimates for 2025 showing an upward revision [14]
Chipotle's Loyalty Base Reaches 20M: Will It Drive Sales Recovery?
ZACKS· 2025-08-21 18:06
Core Insights - Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) has experienced a decline in comparable restaurant sales since early 2025, primarily due to a decrease in customer transactions, with a 2.3% decline in the first half of 2025 compared to a 9.1% growth in the same period last year, driven by a 3.7% drop in transactions [1][9] Sales Performance - The company is facing challenges in maintaining comparable sales despite higher average checks and menu price increases [2] - To combat declining sales, Chipotle is enhancing its loyalty program, which has grown to approximately 20 million members as of June 30, 2025, following various engagement initiatives [2][3] Loyalty Program Initiatives - Chipotle has implemented several strategies to boost its loyalty program, including enrollment campaigns and a gamified experience called "Summer of Extras," which increased digital sign-ups by 14% year-over-year [3] - A new program targeting college students is planned for fall 2025 to further engage customers and increase sales [3][4] Competitive Landscape - Chipotle's loyalty program faces significant competition from major players like McDonald's and Starbucks, which have established robust loyalty initiatives [5] - McDonald's loyalty program has over 12 million sign-ups, while Starbucks Rewards boasts nearly 34 million active members, significantly impacting Chipotle's market position [6][7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Chipotle's stock has declined by 15.7% over the past three months, underperforming compared to the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry and the S&P 500 index [8][9] - The stock is currently trading at a premium with a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 4.41 [11] Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for Chipotle remain unchanged at $1.21 for 2025 and $1.42 for 2026, reflecting year-over-year growth of 8% and 17.6%, respectively [12][13]