Core Viewpoint - Cava Group's stock has significantly declined following a disappointing second-quarter report, with revenue and same-store sales falling short of analyst expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Cava's revenue for Q2 did not meet analyst expectations, with same-store sales growth at only 2.1% [1] - The company has revised its full-year same-store sales outlook down to a range of 4% to 6%, which is two percentage points lower than previous guidance [1] - Despite the slowdown, Cava's total revenue increased by 20.3% year over year [9] Group 2: Factors Impacting Performance - The introduction of steak to the menu last year created a tough comparison for same-store sales, contributing to the current slowdown [2] - Newly opened restaurants in 2024 experienced a "honeymoon effect," initially outperforming expectations but failing to sustain that growth [3] - Economic conditions are affecting Cava, although premium item attach rates remain unchanged; same-store guest traffic was roughly flat in Q2 [4] Group 3: Expansion Plans - Cava opened 16 new restaurants in Q2, bringing the total to 398, with plans to open 68 to 70 restaurants by the end of the year [5] - The company aims to operate 1,000 restaurants by 2032, requiring an average of 80 openings annually starting in 2026 [5] - At the current average unit volume (AUV) of $2.9 million, revenue could reach $2.9 billion with 1,000 restaurants, indicating potential for AUV growth [6] Group 4: Valuation and Market Position - Cava's stock was previously trading at around 18 times annual sales but has since decreased to approximately 7.3 times trailing-12-month sales, still above Chipotle's valuation of about 5 times [8] - Cava is expected to grow faster than Chipotle due to its smaller restaurant base, with the potential for significant revenue growth from new openings [9] - The company's model appears sustainable, with 2025 restaurant openings projected to achieve AUVs above $3 million, nearing Chipotle's levels [11]