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Wall Street Brunch: Disputes In Davos
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-18 16:25
Group 1: U.S.-European Relations and Tariffs - President Trump is leading the largest-ever U.S. delegation to the World Economic Forum in Davos, where he is expected to discuss the war in Ukraine and new tariffs imposed on several European nations [4][5] - Eight countries, including the U.K., France, Germany, and Denmark, will face a 10% tariff starting February 1, which could increase to 25% by June 1 unless agreements are reached [5] - French President Macron has strongly opposed the tariff threats, stating they are unacceptable and will request the activation of the EU's anti-coercion trade tool [5][6] Group 2: AI and Industry Leaders at Davos - The World Economic Forum will focus on AI, particularly the concept of the "Co-Pilot Economy," which emphasizes using AI to augment rather than replace workers [6] - Notable executives attending include Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, and Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff [7] Group 3: Netflix Earnings and Market Expectations - Netflix is expected to report earnings with an EPS of $0.55 on revenue of $11.97 billion, driven by major holiday releases [7] - Over the last three months, Netflix has seen 18 upward revisions in EPS estimates and 25 upward revisions in revenue estimates [8] - Analysts suggest Netflix is preparing an all-cash offer for Warner Bros. Discovery, which could impact EPS but help avoid ownership dilution [8][9] Group 4: Upcoming Earnings Reports - Other companies reporting earnings include 3M, United Airlines, Johnson & Johnson, Kinder Morgan, Halliburton, Intel, Visa, GE Aerospace, and Procter & Gamble [9] - Caterpillar and Dell will go ex-dividend on Tuesday, with payout dates in February, while Colgate-Palmolive and Pfizer will also go ex-dividend later in the week [10]
Is Disney's DTC Momentum the Key to Reviving Entertainment Margins?
ZACKS· 2025-09-12 17:36
Group 1: Disney's Direct-to-Consumer Momentum - Disney's Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) segment has shown significant growth, reporting an operating income of $346 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, a turnaround from a $19 million loss a year ago, driven by price increases, subscriber growth, and rising ad revenues [1][9] - The company projects a remarkable $1.3 billion in DTC operating income for fiscal 2025, indicating an over 800% year-over-year increase [2][9] - Disney+ and Hulu have reached a combined total of 183 million subscribers, with an expectation of adding 10 million more in Q4 2025 [3][9] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Netflix remains the leader in streaming with over 300 million subscribers and plans to invest $18 billion in content for 2025, enhancing revenues through ads and price increases [5] - Warner Bros. Discovery's streaming segment, Max, added 3.4 million subscribers, reaching 125.7 million, and achieved $293 million in EBITDA, showcasing strong competitive strength against Disney [6] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Disney shares have increased by 5.2% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's growth of 10.9% and the Zacks Media Conglomerates industry's growth of 10.1% [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/earnings ratio of 18.12X, compared to the industry's 20.29X, indicating a relatively favorable valuation [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Disney's fiscal 2025 earnings is $5.86 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 17.91% [13]