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Is Disney's DTC Momentum the Key to Reviving Entertainment Margins?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-12 17:36
Group 1: Disney's Direct-to-Consumer Momentum - Disney's Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) segment has shown significant growth, reporting an operating income of $346 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, a turnaround from a $19 million loss a year ago, driven by price increases, subscriber growth, and rising ad revenues [1][9] - The company projects a remarkable $1.3 billion in DTC operating income for fiscal 2025, indicating an over 800% year-over-year increase [2][9] - Disney+ and Hulu have reached a combined total of 183 million subscribers, with an expectation of adding 10 million more in Q4 2025 [3][9] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Netflix remains the leader in streaming with over 300 million subscribers and plans to invest $18 billion in content for 2025, enhancing revenues through ads and price increases [5] - Warner Bros. Discovery's streaming segment, Max, added 3.4 million subscribers, reaching 125.7 million, and achieved $293 million in EBITDA, showcasing strong competitive strength against Disney [6] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Disney shares have increased by 5.2% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector's growth of 10.9% and the Zacks Media Conglomerates industry's growth of 10.1% [7] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/earnings ratio of 18.12X, compared to the industry's 20.29X, indicating a relatively favorable valuation [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Disney's fiscal 2025 earnings is $5.86 per share, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 17.91% [13]