Investment Rating - The report maintains an Overweight (OW) rating for SF Holding Co. Ltd - A and H shares, with price targets of Rmb52.00 and HK$46.00 respectively [4][39]. Core Insights - SF Holding has shown exceptional performance in the logistics sector, with A and H shares rising 24% and 38% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the CSI300 index, which is down 2% [2][10]. - The company's growth is attributed to operational optimization, innovative pricing models, and the use of advanced technologies like AI and robotics, enhancing efficiency and profitability [2][14]. - SF's business model reveals substantial upside potential, particularly in international parcels and supply chain management, positioning it favorably against global competitors like UPS [9][11]. Summary by Sections Operational Performance - SF has achieved robust parcel volume growth, with increases of 25%, 30%, and 32% year-over-year in March, April, and May respectively [3]. - The average selling price (ASP) has declined by 12-14% year-over-year due to the introduction of lower-priced parcels, but this strategy is expected to improve overall infrastructure utilization [3][10]. Market Positioning - SF's integrated business model allows it to capture market share across both high-end and low-end segments, maintaining profitability despite competitive pressures [2][3]. - The company views tariff impacts as manageable, with minimal effects on its bottom line, and anticipates growth in its logistics routes due to increased demand for comprehensive solutions [7][10]. Valuation Analysis - SF's valuation premium is justified by its unique position in China's logistics market, trading at 18x and 15x EV/EBITDA for FY26E, compared to peers at 11.5x [10][35]. - The report suggests that SF can trade at above 8-10x EV/EBITDA, reflecting its promising growth rates and significant upside potential in international and supply chain management [10][35].