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Aurora Cannabis Pre-Q1 Earnings Analysis: Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-08-04 13:31
Core Insights - Aurora Cannabis (ACB) is set to release its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on August 6, with earnings estimated at 18 cents per share and revenues at $70.88 million, indicating a year-over-year earnings growth of 263.6% and a revenue increase of 5.4% [1][2] Financial Performance - The consensus for fiscal 2026 revenues is $272.1 million, reflecting a 7.6% year-over-year rise, while the EPS estimate is 56 cents, suggesting a 100% improvement year-over-year [2] - ACB has surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 50.10% [2] Market Dynamics - ACB's medical cannabis sales are expected to have increased in Germany and Australia, driven by new product launches, although regulatory disruptions in Poland and seasonal fluctuations may have impacted revenue growth [5][8] - The company has expanded its IndiMed portfolio in Australia, launching TEMPO 22 cultivars to meet rising patient demand, which is likely to enhance top-line growth [7] Operational Developments - ACB's recent $3 million upgrade to its Alpine facility in British Columbia has doubled yields and potency, potentially supporting top-line growth [10] - Despite a projected slight decline in first-quarter revenues compared to the previous quarter, margins are expected to remain robust due to a favorable product mix and cost discipline [11] Valuation and Stock Performance - Year-to-date, ACB shares have gained 5.4%, outperforming peers like Tilray Brands and Canopy Growth [12] - ACB trades at a forward 12-month P/S of 0.9, reflecting stronger growth expectations compared to Tilray Brands (0.65) and a lower valuation than Canopy Growth (1.07) [13]