Texas Roadhouse Inspired by Mini Rolls
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Texas Roadhouse(TXRH) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-06 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue growth of 12.8% for Q3 2025, driven by a 5.5% increase in average weekly sales and 6.8% store week growth [13] - Diluted earnings per share decreased by 0.8% to $1.25 [13] - Restaurant margin dollars increased by 1.1% to $204 million, while restaurant margin as a percentage of total sales decreased by 168 basis points year-over-year to 14.3% [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Texas Roadhouse averaged nearly $162,000 in weekly sales, Bubba's 33 averaged $119,000, and Jaggers averaged over $75,000 [10] - Comparable sales increased by 6.1% in Q3, with traffic growth of 4.3% and an average check increase of 1.8% [13] - The to-go business represented approximately 13.6% of total weekly sales, averaging $21,500 [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company opened seven company-owned locations in Q3, including two Bubba's 33 and one Jaggers, and plans to open approximately 30 restaurants across three brands in 2025 [5][6] - Franchise partners opened two international Texas Roadhouse restaurants during Q3 and plan to open ten new restaurants in total, including six international locations [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a people-first focus, operational excellence, and a strong value proposition to drive long-term success [4] - The company is on track to open approximately 35 company-owned restaurants in 2026, including 20 Texas Roadhouse, 10 Bubba's 33, and five Jaggers [6] - The company continues to invest in technology, with 95% of restaurants using a digital kitchen and upgraded guest management systems [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that consumer behavior remains strong, with no noticeable change in guest behavior following a 1.7% menu price increase [6] - The company expects commodity inflation to be approximately 6% for 2025 and 7% for 2026, with significant volatility in beef prices anticipated [10][11] - Management remains optimistic about maintaining top-line growth through guest traffic and restaurant expansion despite inflationary pressures [8][9] Other Important Information - The company ended Q3 with a cash balance of $108 million and cash flow from operations of $144 million, offset by $214 million in capital expenditures, dividend payments, and share repurchases [11] - The company is prioritizing new store development and maintaining existing restaurants, with capital expenditure guidance set at approximately $400 million for 2026 [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Outlook for beef inflation and beverage program - Management indicated that beef inflation is expected to be in the mid-teens, with a focus on mocktails and beverage offerings to cater to changing consumer preferences [21][26] Question: Confidence in beef inflation being transitory - Management believes the current beef inflation is cyclical and transitory, based on industry insights and purchasing department evaluations [32][34] Question: Consumer trends by income and age cohort - Management noted no significant differences in consumer behavior by income or age cohort, attributing strong traffic growth to the value offered [36][38] Question: Pricing philosophy and impact on compensation - Management emphasized a conservative pricing approach to protect top-line growth and manage partner compensation effectively [44][46] Question: Restaurant profit dollars and inflation management - Management acknowledged the decline in restaurant profit dollars per location but remains confident in long-term growth strategies [52][56] Question: New customer acquisition and competition - Management believes they are attracting customers from various segments, including higher-end steakhouses and QSRs, due to their quality offerings and restaurant experience [60][61] Question: Franchise acquisitions and CapEx balance - Management confirmed ongoing conversations for franchise acquisitions and explained that capital expenditures remain stable despite increased openings due to efficiency [71][74]