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8 月轮胎追踪_原配卡车轮胎市场恶化-August Tyres Tracker_ OE Truck deteriorating
2025-09-22 01:00
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **tyre industry**, specifically the **passenger car (PC)** and **truck tyre** segments, with insights into various regional markets including **North America**, **Europe**, and **China** [3][10][33]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Passenger Car Replacement Tyre (RT) Demand**: - Global PC RT demand increased by **1% YoY** in August, with North America declining by **4%** while Europe and China showed growth at **3%** and **4%** respectively [3][10]. 2. **Original Equipment (OE) Demand**: - Global PC OE volumes fell by **2% YoY** in August, with Europe experiencing a significant decline of **13%**. North America and China also faced challenges, with declines of **6%** and **2%** respectively [4][10]. - OE truck demand deteriorated sharply, down **8% YoY**, with North America facing a severe decline of **33%** due to economic conditions and oversupply in the freight market [5][10]. 3. **Regional Performance**: - In North America, RT truck demand remained stable with a growth of **13%** in August, attributed to pre-buying in anticipation of tariffs [6][10]. - Europe showed a slight decline in RT truck demand at **-1%**, while South America remained stable at **-3%** [6][10]. 4. **Market Trends**: - The Chinese market is viewed as stable with a favorable trend, while Europe continues to face economic challenges impacting demand [3][4]. - The overall truck tyre market is experiencing a downturn, with global volumes down **8%** [10]. Additional Important Insights 1. **Raw Material Composition**: - Key raw materials for tyres include natural rubber (~25%), synthetic rubber (~25%), and fillers (~30%). The composition varies between passenger and truck tyres, with passenger tyres typically containing more synthetic rubber for durability [33][40]. 2. **Commodity Price Trends**: - The tyre commodity index has shown a **-19%** change from 2Q23 to 2Q24, indicating a significant drop in raw material costs [35][38]. - Prices for rubber and steel have also seen declines, with rubber prices down **-13%** and steel prices down **-7%** over the same period [38][41]. 3. **Valuation Metrics**: - The report includes a valuation sheet for global tyre companies, highlighting market capitalizations, revenue growth rates, and earnings projections for companies like Michelin and Continental [55]. 4. **Market Outlook**: - Analysts maintain an "In-Line" industry view, suggesting cautious optimism amidst ongoing economic challenges and shifting demand dynamics [8]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of the tyre industry.