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3 Reasons to Buy Deckers Outdoor Stock Like There's No Tomorrow
The Motley Foolยท 2025-04-09 10:15
Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor has experienced significant stock volatility, with a notable decline of 53% from its 52-week high despite strong financial performance, raising concerns about trade tariffs impacting the company [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Deckers Outdoor is recognized for its footwear brands, particularly Ugg and Hoka, with Hoka projected to generate over $2 billion in sales this year, more than doubling its size in three years [3] - In fiscal Q3 2025, total net sales increased by 17.1% year over year, and earnings per share (EPS) rose by 19% to a record $3, with Hoka brand sales surging 24% [4] - Deckers is gaining market share as competitors like Nike face declining sales, supported by a solid balance sheet with $2.2 billion in cash and zero debt [5] Group 2: Trade Tariff Concerns - Deckers relies on overseas manufacturing in China and Vietnam, facing challenges from tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, including a 10% baseline tax and higher rates on imports from Vietnam and China [6] - There is potential for tariff relief as discussions between the U.S. and Vietnam leaders suggest a possible trade deal, which could significantly benefit Deckers since most of its footwear is sourced from Vietnam [7][8] Group 3: Valuation and Market Position - The decline in Deckers' stock price has led to concerns about profit margins and growth sustainability, but the stock is now trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16, presenting a bargain compared to peers like Nike and On Holding, which trade at 27 and 33 respectively [9][10][11] - The recent sell-off positions Deckers as a value pick in the industry, despite uncertainties regarding future earnings [10][11] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Deckers Outdoor is viewed as a compelling investment opportunity due to its brand momentum, strong growth, and attractive valuation, making it a potential buy-the-dip candidate for diversified portfolios [13]