Summary of State Grid's Capex Plan for the 15th FYP Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Utilities - **Company**: State Grid Corporation of China Key Points 1. **Capex Plan Confirmation**: State Grid has confirmed a capital expenditure (capex) plan of Rmb4 trillion for the 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP), which is a 40% increase compared to the 14th FYP, aligning with previous estimates [2][3] 2. **Investment Breakdown**: The total investment during the 14th FYP was approximately Rmb2.8 trillion, with annual investments increasing from Rmb488 billion in 2021 to Rmb650 billion in 2025 [2] 3. **Growth Projections**: The proposed capex indicates a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 7% from 2026 to 2030, as annual grid capex growth is expected to outpace power demand during the 15th FYP [3] 4. **Key Initiatives**: Major initiatives include: - Investment in Ultra High Voltage (UHV), backbone, and distribution networks, with allocations of Rmb490 billion, Rmb985 billion, and Rmb2,484 billion respectively [2] - A focus on enhancing grid resiliency and reliability due to increasing renewable energy connections [2] 5. **Beneficiaries**: Companies expected to benefit from this capex plan include NARI Technology, Pinggao Electric, and XJ Electric, due to their significant exposure to State Grid [3] 6. **Infrastructure Enhancements**: The plan aims to accelerate UHV build-outs and improve inter-regional power transmission capacity by over 30% compared to the 14th FYP [7][8] 7. **Distribution Network Expansion**: There will be an emphasis on accelerating the construction of distribution networks in both urban and rural areas to support the growing demand for electricity [8] Additional Insights - **Investment Risks**: Potential risks include delays in the tendering process for new UHV lines and lower-than-expected investments in the grid distribution network, which could impact revenue recognition [13][16] - **Market Outlook**: The overall industry view remains attractive, indicating positive sentiment towards investments in the utilities sector [5] This summary encapsulates the essential details regarding State Grid's capex plan and its implications for the utilities industry in China.