Group 1 - The odds of Venezuelan politician María Corina Machado winning the Nobel Peace Prize have surged to 70%, a significant increase of 66 percentage points from the previous day [2] - In contrast, the odds for Donald Trump have decreased to 3%, while the probability for Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms stands at 15% [2] - Over $16 million has been wagered on the outcome, with predictions on Kalshi indicating a 67% chance for Machado and a 4% chance for Trump [3] Group 2 - Polymarket, a betting platform based on Polygon, allows users to place bets using the USDC stablecoin, although it is currently unavailable to U.S. residents [4] - Trump's supporters are actively promoting him as "The Peace President," advocating for his nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize following a peace agreement between Israel and Hamas [4][5] - Machado is recognized as a prominent figure in the Venezuelan opposition and a strong critic of the Nicolás Maduro regime [6]