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Uber Stock Is a Buy: But You'll Have to Watch It Closely
The Motley Foolยท 2025-11-12 09:31
Core Insights - Uber's stock appears attractive due to strong financial performance, accelerating growth, and significant cash generation, alongside a stock buyback program [1][8] Financial Performance - Uber's quarterly results show a 22% year-over-year growth in trips booked, up from 18% in the previous quarter, leading to a 21% increase in gross bookings and a 20% rise in revenue [4] - The company generated free cash flow of $2.2 billion for the quarter, with trailing-twelve-month free cash flow reaching $8.7 billion, demonstrating its ability to convert gross bookings into cash [5] - Management anticipates continued healthy business trajectory with fourth-quarter guidance of 17% to 21% gross bookings growth and adjusted EBITDA between $2.41 billion and $2.51 billion [6] Share Repurchase Program - In August, Uber increased its share repurchase program by $20 billion, reflecting management's confidence in the business, with $4.6 billion in repurchases year to date compared to $700 million in the same period last year [7] Market Position and Risks - Uber faces significant threats from autonomous vehicle initiatives by Alphabet's Waymo and Tesla, which could disrupt its business model [3][9] - While Uber currently partners with Waymo, there is a risk that Waymo may bypass the Uber app in the future [11] - Tesla is advancing its own autonomous ride-sharing network, Robotaxi, which poses a competitive threat to Uber [12] Strategic Response - Uber is actively integrating multiple autonomous partners and developing app features to manage hybrid fleets, positioning itself to participate in the autonomous vehicle market rather than being displaced by it [12]