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How Should an Investor Play OKLO Stock Pre-Q1 Earnings Release?
ZACKSยท 2025-05-08 16:00
Core Viewpoint - Oklo, Inc. is expected to report a significant improvement in its first-quarter 2025 results, with a projected loss of 11 cents per share compared to a loss of $4.79 in the same quarter last year, although the earnings estimate has deteriorated over the past 60 days [1][2]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Oklo's first-quarter bottom line is a loss of 11 cents per share, improving from a loss of $4.79 in the prior-year quarter [1]. - The earnings estimate has seen a downward revision of 22.22% over the last 60 days [1]. - Oklo's earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last reported quarter, with a reported loss of $4.79 [2]. Strategic Developments - In March 2025, Oklo acquired Atomic Alchemy, enhancing its capabilities in radioisotope production, which is crucial for healthcare, research, and defense [4][5]. - The company entered into an Interface Agreement with Idaho National Laboratory to ensure compliance with environmental regulations and finalized a Memorandum of Agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy for deploying its first commercial powerhouse [6]. - Oklo joined the DOE's Voucher Program to evaluate advanced structural materials for its Aurora powerhouse, strengthening its path to commercial deployment [7]. - A Memorandum of Understanding was signed with Lightbridge Corporation to explore co-locating a fuel fabrication facility, enhancing fuel recycling capabilities [8]. - Oklo partnered with RPower to transition data centers from diesel to natural gas, ultimately aiming for clean energy from its Aurora powerhouses [9]. Market Performance - Oklo's shares have surged 48.8% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Alternative-Energy industry's return of 32.2% and the broader Zacks Oils-Energy sector's decline of 13.5% [11]. - The company is trading at a premium with a trailing 12-month Price/Book (P/B) ratio higher than its industry peers, indicating investor expectations for higher profit generation [12][15]. Industry Context - The global electricity demand is rising, particularly in emerging economies, driven by economic growth, with the U.S. being the largest producer of nuclear power, contributing nearly 30% to global nuclear electricity generation [16]. - Oklo is positioned for long-term growth in the nuclear power sector with its next-generation fast-fission power plants, designed to generate 15-50 megawatts electric (MWe) from recycled and fresh nuclear fuel [17]. Future Outlook - Despite the positive developments, Oklo has yet to generate revenues, with its first Aurora powerhouse expected to be deployed in 2027, indicating limited top-line performance in the near term [18]. - The company is likely to disappoint investors with its first-quarter results due to a negative earnings ESP and downward revisions in earnings estimates [19].