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Market Turbulence Ahead? Volatility ETFs to Consider
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 14:46
Market Overview - The S&P 500 Index experienced a decline of approximately 1.7%, marking the weakest trading day since October 10, driven by a sell-off in tech shares due to diminishing expectations for a December interest rate cut and valuation concerns [1] - The CBOE Volatility Index increased by about 14%, indicating a rise in market volatility and investor anxiety [1] Interest Rate Expectations - Investor sentiment has deteriorated as concerns grow that the Federal Reserve may not implement a rate cut in December, which could pressure U.S. equities after a record run fueled by expectations of further easing [2] - The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 49.6% probability of an interest rate cut in December, a significant decrease from previous expectations [3] AI Sector Concerns - There are ongoing worries about a potential bubble in the AI sector, with leading tech figures expressing concerns over inflated valuations, which have led to increased anxiety within the industry [4] - Comparisons are being made between current AI valuations and the dot-com bubble, which previously caused a nearly 50% decline in the S&P 500 [5] - The S&P 500 is heavily influenced by Big Tech, with around 36% of its composition in information technology, leading to elevated concentration risks for investors [5] Investment Strategies - Increasing exposure to volatility ETFs may be beneficial for investors in the short term, as these funds have historically provided gains during market turmoil [6] - For long-term investors, the current economic environment suggests that volatility-focused funds and strategies are suitable for reassessing risk exposure [7] Volatility ETFs - The iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN aims to track the performance of the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index, offering exposure to VIX futures contracts [9] - The fund charges an annual fee of 0.89% [10] - The ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF seeks to track the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index and is designed for investors looking to benefit from expected increases in S&P 500 volatility, with an annual fee of 0.85% [11] - The ProShares VIX Mid-Term Futures ETF tracks the S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures Index and is also aimed at investors seeking to capitalize on expected volatility, charging an annual fee of 0.85% [12]