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Buy Home Depot (HD) or GMS (GMS) Stock After Acquisition Announcement?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-01 20:11
Core Viewpoint - Home Depot is acquiring GMS Inc. for $4.3 billion, or $5.5 billion including debt, to enhance its position in the specialty building products market, with the deal expected to close by the end of the year or early 2026 [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition aims to expand Home Depot's reach to professional contractors and improve fulfillment and service options for both residential and commercial customers [4] - GMS will continue to operate under its current leadership team, maintaining its brand identity within the SRS umbrella [5] Group 2: Stock Performance - Following the acquisition announcement, GMS stock surged by 11%, while Home Depot shares experienced a slight decline [2] - Year-to-date, GMS has increased nearly 30%, outperforming the S&P 500's 5% and Home Depot's decline of 4% [2] - Over the past three years, GMS has gained 140%, significantly exceeding the broader market's return of 64% and Home Depot's 34% [2] Group 3: Financial Outlook - GMS's total sales are projected to remain flat in FY26 but are expected to rise by 3% in FY27 to $5.68 billion [6] - GMS's annual earnings are forecasted to increase by 2% in FY26 and by 17% in FY27 to $7.42 per share [6] - Home Depot's total sales are expected to grow by 3% in FY26 and by another 4% in FY27, reaching $171.66 billion [7] - Home Depot's EPS is anticipated to dip by 1% in FY26 but rebound with a 9% increase in FY27 to $16.41 [7] Group 4: Market Position - The acquisition is seen as a significant step for Home Depot to become a multi-category building materials distributor, enhancing its competitive edge over Lowe's [4] - Home Depot currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), while GMS has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable long-term outlook for the acquisition [10]