Esab (ESAB) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Earnings Whisper The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 6, might help the stock move higher if ...

Group 1 - Esab is well-positioned to maintain its earnings-beat streak, with an average surprise of 8.62% over the past two quarters [1][5] - In the last reported quarter, Esab achieved earnings of $1.25 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.18 per share by 5.93% [2] - The previous quarter also saw Esab outperform expectations, reporting earnings of $1.28 per share against an estimate of $1.15 per share, resulting in a surprise of 11.30% [2] Group 2 - Estimates for Esab have been trending higher, supported by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The stock has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +2.43%, indicating bullish sentiment among analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8] - Esab's Zacks Rank is 2 (Buy), suggesting a strong potential for another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] Group 3 - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - The next earnings report for Esab is expected to be released on August 6, 2025 [8]

Group 1: Earnings Performance - Esab reported quarterly earnings of $1.25 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.18 per share, and showing an increase from $1.20 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 5.93% [1] - The company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all four of the last quarters [2] - Esab's revenues for the quarter ended March 2025 were $646.9 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.59%, although this is a decrease from year-ago revenues of $689.74 million [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - Esab shares have increased by approximately 0.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -5.3% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.36 on revenues of $654.18 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.13 on revenues of $2.56 billion [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Metal Products - Procurement and Fabrication industry, to which Esab belongs, is currently ranked in the top 18% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5] - The current estimate revisions trend for Esab is mixed, resulting in a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market [6]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in Esab's earnings due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates to influence stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Esab is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.18 per share, reflecting a -1.7% change year-over-year, with revenues projected at $630.56 million, down 8.6% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.32% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Esab is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.54%, suggesting a challenging outlook for beating estimates [10][11]. - Esab currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, complicating predictions for an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Esab exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $1.28 per share against an estimate of $1.15, resulting in a surprise of +11.30% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Esab has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [13]. Conclusion - While Esab does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [16].