Core Insights - Cameco has experienced significant stock growth, rising 63% this year and over 251% in the past three years, but is currently down 24% from its recent peak, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors [1][2] Industry Overview - The U.S. government is heavily investing in nuclear infrastructure to meet increasing energy demands, which is expected to benefit companies like Cameco [2][4] - Energy demand is surging, particularly due to the rise of data centers, with Goldman Sachs projecting that data center power demand will account for 8% of total U.S. demand by 2030, up from 3% two years ago [3] - Overall U.S. electricity demand is projected to grow at an annual rate of 2.5%, significantly faster than the previous decade's growth rate of 0.5% [4] Company Positioning - Cameco is one of the largest uranium producers globally, with significant assets in Canada and Kazakhstan, including high-grade uranium mines like McArthur River and Cigar Lake [5] - The company holds a 49% stake in Westinghouse, a key player in nuclear reactor technology, enhancing its growth potential [7][10] Recent Developments - The partnership with the U.S. government aims to build at least $80 billion in new reactors using Westinghouse technology, which could significantly impact the nuclear industry [9][10] - Cameco is also positioned to benefit from the U.S. increasing its strategic uranium reserve to mitigate risks from potential supply disruptions [11] Production and Financial Outlook - Cameco has reduced its 2025 production forecast due to delays, now expecting 14 to 15 million pounds of U308 uranium, down from 18 million pounds, but strong performance at Cigar Lake may offset some shortfalls [12][13] - Analysts view the production guidance cut as "immaterial," suggesting that the shortfall will be recouped in 2026 [14] - Despite a high valuation at 55 times projected earnings, analysts expect earnings per share to grow to $2.25 by 2028, indicating a 30% annual growth from 2025's projected EPS [16]

Core Viewpoint - The US Energy Department is prioritizing nuclear power funding to expedite the construction of new reactors, with significant financial backing expected from the government [1][2]. Financing and Investment - The US government will match billions of dollars in equity financing with low-cost debt at a maximum ratio of four-to-one through the Loans Programme Office [2]. - The partnership with Westinghouse Electric aims to facilitate the construction of at least $80 billion worth of new nuclear reactors across the US [4]. Strategic Partnerships - The Trump administration has formed a strategic partnership with Westinghouse Electric, co-owned by Cameco and Brookfield Asset Management, to enhance the development of nuclear power in the US [2][8]. - This partnership is viewed as a significant de-risking event for reactor orders and the broader nuclear industry, potentially accelerating the rollout of new Westinghouse AP1000 reactors [5]. Industry Outlook - The goal is to have dozens of nuclear plants under construction by the end of the current administration [3]. - Despite the slow pace of nuclear construction in the US, with only three reactors completed this century, there is a growing interest in restarting or upgrading old plants to meet the electricity demands driven by artificial intelligence [7]. Public Perception and Challenges - Public opinion is shifting positively towards nuclear power due to its low-emission benefits, despite historical concerns stemming from past accidents [8].