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GSAT Hits 52-Week High: Time to Take Profits or Hold for More Gains?
ZACKSยท 2025-10-10 16:25
Core Insights - Globalstar, Inc. (GSAT) stock reached a new 52-week high of $47.32, closing at $47.06, with a notable 55.3% increase over the past month, significantly outperforming the Satellite and Communication Industry's 13.1% gain [1][9] - The company's growth is driven by strong performance in Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity and private network solutions, alongside strategic collaborations [1][6] Price Performance - GSAT's gains surpass those of peers such as Iridium Communication (IRDM), Viasat (VSAT), and EchoStar (SATS), which saw increases of 7.2% and 11.3%, while SATS declined by 0.7% [4] - Investors are evaluating whether GSAT's momentum is sustainable or if they should take profits [4] Business Drivers - Continued growth in wholesale capacity services and commercial IoT revenues is benefiting Globalstar [6] - The average number of commercial IoT subscribers is increasing, supported by growth in gross activations [6] - A new strategic collaboration with Conekt.ai aims to integrate GSAT's Band 53 spectrum and XCOM RAN private network technology with Conekt.ai's platform [6] - A proof of concept with Parsons demonstrated the integration of GSAT's satellite network with a software-defined communications platform [7] - Proprietary spectrum ownership is highlighted as a key differentiator in the satellite communications space [8] Infrastructure and Innovations - Globalstar is upgrading its infrastructure with a global ground infrastructure program for the next-generation Extended MSS Network, adding approximately 90 antennas across 35 ground stations in 25 countries [11] - The company is collaborating with SpaceX for the deployment of nine new satellites, scheduled for launch in late 2025 and 2026 [12] - GSAT's revenue outlook for 2025 is projected between $260 million and $285 million, with expected adjusted EBITDA margins around 50% [12] Competitive Landscape - The satellite and communication industry is characterized by intense competition and rapid technological advancements, which could impact GSAT's revenue trajectory [13] - Competitors like Iridium, EchoStar, and Viasat are expanding their addressable markets amid increasing demand for global connectivity [13] Financial Considerations - GSAT's stock is trading at a high premium, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 19.6X compared to the industry's 1.54X [17] - Other competitors trade at lower multiples, such as IRDM at 2.33X, SATS at 1.48X, and VSAT at 1X [18] Investment Outlook - The company's proprietary spectrum, innovation, and collaborations position it for long-term growth, but near-term execution risks and competition warrant caution [19] - The recent stock surge reflects growing investor confidence in GSAT's expanding IoT footprint, but its high valuation suggests that much optimism is already priced in [19] - Current recommendation is to hold the stock, with new investors advised to wait for a more favorable entry point [19][20]