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Lululemon Athletica Faces Downgrade Amid Challenges
Financial Modeling Prepยท 2025-10-06 17:00
Core Viewpoint - Lululemon Athletica is facing significant challenges, leading to a downgrade by Jefferies and a reduction in price target, despite maintaining strong gross margins and a debt-free balance sheet [1][2][6] Financial Performance - Lululemon's stock price is currently $175.59, reflecting a decrease of 1.46% with a trading range today between $175.52 and $179.11 [5] - The company has a market capitalization of approximately $19.92 billion and a trading volume of 3,017,932 shares on NASDAQ [5] Challenges - The company is experiencing negative U.S. comparable sales and elevated inventory levels, which have prompted Jefferies to downgrade the stock to "Underperform" and lower the price target from $150 to $120 [2][6] - Changes in tariffs and de minimis rules are expected to reduce Lululemon's gross profit by about $240 million [2] Strengths - Lululemon maintains impressive gross margins of around 60% and has a debt-free balance sheet [3][6] Market Dynamics - There is a significant reliance on China's growth, which exceeds 25% year-over-year, posing a concentration risk for the company [3] - U.S. consumers are resisting price increases, which challenges Lululemon's pricing power [4] Potential Opportunities - The stock appears oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) nearing its lowest levels, indicating potential for a positive shift in sentiment [4] - Efforts in supply chain diversification, shifts in U.S. fulfillment, and product refreshes may contribute to improved performance [4][6]