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Celanese(CE) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-18 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a decline in earnings year-over-year, with Adjusted EBIT for the Acetyl Chain down approximately $400 million and Engineered Materials down about $120 million [19][20] - The focus remains on cash generation, with a strong cash generation performance in 2025 despite the earnings decline [8][9] - The company is targeting free cash flow between $650 million and $750 million for 2026, with confidence in achieving this range through various levers [44][73] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Acetyl Chain, the decline in Adjusted EBIT was primarily driven by volume and price changes, particularly in the acetate tow business [19][20] - Engineered Materials showed a mixed performance, with both volume and price declines impacting EBIT, but cost benefits were also noted [20] - The company is seeing stabilization in the electronics market, driven by AI and data center build-outs, while the automotive sector remains mixed due to uncertainties in China [13][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted that contract pricing for 2026 is expected to remain stable, with more competition in the spot market due to increased capacity [10] - The acetyl margins in the Western Hemisphere are performing better than in the Eastern Hemisphere, where overcapacity remains a challenge [78] - Demand in China is currently low due to the Lunar New Year, but pricing has remained stable leading into the holiday [65][66] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on divesting non-core assets, with a target of $1 billion in divestitures by the end of 2027, and is currently about halfway to that goal [16][75] - The strategy emphasizes cash generation and cost reduction, with a focus on driving growth in Engineered Materials through innovation and customer partnerships [22][81] - The company is adapting to structural changes in the market, particularly the shift from internal combustion engines to electric vehicles in China [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate the current operating environment, emphasizing the importance of cash flow and cost management [40][82] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations for growth in Engineered Materials, while the Acetyl Chain may face challenges [21][22] - Management acknowledged the potential for macroeconomic factors to impact performance but remains focused on executing their strategic plan [72][82] Other Important Information - The company is experiencing a moderate seasonal improvement in demand, particularly in the coatings space, but has not seen substantial changes in the acetate tow market [86] - The company is actively pursuing divestitures and has a robust pipeline of potential deals, with a focus on joint ventures [89] - Management is committed to maintaining service levels while reducing working capital, targeting an additional $100 million in inventory reductions [38][52] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on selling equity to address balance sheet issues - Management emphasized a focus on cash generation and debt management rather than selling equity, indicating confidence in their current strategy [8][9] Question: Pricing expectations for contracts in 2026 - Management noted little change in contract pricing but highlighted increased competition in the spot market [10] Question: Stability in engineering materials and macro assumptions for 2026 - Electronics is a bright spot, while the automotive sector shows mixed signals, particularly in China [13][14] Question: Timing and potential assets for divestiture - Management is optimistic about completing additional deals this year and is focusing on non-core business areas [16] Question: Analysis of EBIT changes in Acetyl Chain and Engineered Materials - The decline was driven by volume and price changes, with specific challenges noted in the acetate tow business [19][20] Question: Expectations for earnings uplift in 2026 - Management is targeting a $1-$2 uplift in EPS, contingent on demand recovery and cost management efforts [26][27] Question: Free cash flow guidance and working capital management - Management remains confident in achieving free cash flow targets despite potential headwinds from working capital changes [40][73] Question: Capacity additions in nylon and POM chains - The company is focused on flexibility in operations and is taking advantage of overcapacity in certain markets [47] Question: Future of acetyl margins in China - Management does not anticipate significant uplifts in acetyl pricing in China, given current overcapacity [66] Question: Consolidation opportunities in acetate tow industry - Management remains open to exploring consolidation opportunities but sees no significant changes in industry fundamentals [99]
Celanese Shares Rise Despite Earnings Miss and Soft Demand Outlook
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-18 13:32
Core Insights - Celanese Corporation reported fourth-quarter results that missed analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue, yet shares rose over 4% in after-hours trading [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter were $0.67, below the consensus estimate of $0.91 [1] - Revenue for the fourth quarter totaled $2.2 billion, slightly under the forecast of $2.25 billion and down 6.5% from $2.36 billion in the same quarter last year [1][2] - The company recorded an operating profit of $93 million and adjusted EBIT of $251 million for the fourth quarter [2] Yearly Overview - For the full year 2025, Celanese generated adjusted earnings per share of $3.98 on net sales of $9.5 billion, representing a 7% year-over-year decline [3] - Operating cash flow totaled $1.1 billion, while free cash flow reached $773 million [3] Future Outlook - The company expects limited change in the demand environment during the first quarter, with seasonal volume improvements offset by the timing of dividend payments from its acetate tow joint venture in China [4] - Celanese forecasts first-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.70 to $0.85 and targets free cash flow between $650 million and $750 million for 2026 [4]
Celanese(CE) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-12 13:00
Q2 2025 Performance - Celanese's Q2 2025 adjusted EPS was $1.44[10] - Acetyl Chain (AC) adjusted EBIT was $196 million[10] - Engineered Materials (EM) adjusted EBIT was $214 million[10] - The company generated $311 million in free cash flow in Q2 2025[10] Q3 2025 Outlook - Celanese anticipates an adjusted EPS guidance of $1.10 to $1.40 for Q3 2025[13] - The company projects an adjusted EBIT for Acetyl Chain between $195 million and $215 million, and for Engineered Materials between $170 million and $190 million[13] Cost Reduction Initiatives - Celanese expects cost reduction initiatives to deliver $120 million in cost savings in 2025[16] - The company identifies future incremental cost reduction opportunities of $50 million - $100 million[16] Free Cash Flow - Celanese is on track to achieve a target of $700 million to $800 million FY2025 free cash flow generation[18] - The company's 1H 2025 free cash flow is higher year-over-year by approximately 80%[18] Acetyl Chain (AC) Business - Approximately 70% of AC revenue in the Western Hemisphere is derived from contracted business in 2024[38] - AC Operating EBITDA margin has consistently been greater than 20% for the past five years[26]