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ALAB Stock Rallies 20% in One Year: Should You Buy, Hold, or Sell?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:15
Core Insights - Astera Labs (ALAB) shares have increased by 20.5% over the past 12 months, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which rose by 25% [1] - The company has also lagged behind its closest peer, Credo Technology (CRDO), which saw a share price increase of 76.6% during the same period [2] - Despite these challenges, Astera Labs has outperformed the Zacks Internet - Software industry, which grew by 5% in the last year, due to its diversified product portfolio and strong demand for PCIe solutions [3] Product Performance - Astera Labs' product portfolio, including Scorpio, Aries, and Taurus, has been a significant growth driver, particularly in PCIe Gen 6 applications [6] - The Aries PCIe 6 smart retimer solutions accounted for over 20% of third-quarter revenues, showcasing the company's leadership in connectivity [7] - Taurus smart cable modules are experiencing strong growth, with 400-gig solutions currently in demand and 800-gig solutions expected to create new opportunities in 2026 [7] Acquisitions and Strategic Moves - Astera Labs signed an agreement to acquire aiXscale Photonics GmbH, enhancing its capabilities in optical connectivity solutions for AI infrastructure [8][9] - This acquisition aims to address the bandwidth needs of AI systems, which require high-speed and reliable connectivity [9] Financial Guidance - For the fourth quarter of 2025, Astera Labs expects revenues between $245 million and $253 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 77.03% [10] - Earnings per share are projected to be approximately 51 cents, indicating a year-over-year increase of 37.84% [11] Competitive Landscape - Astera Labs faces stiff competition from industry players like Marvell Technology, Credo Technology, and Broadcom, which are also expanding their connectivity solutions [12] - Marvell Technology has introduced new products that enhance efficiency for AI interconnects, while Broadcom is developing advanced PCIe retimers [13][14] Valuation Concerns - Astera Labs' stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 23.24X, significantly higher than the sector average of 7.42X [15] - The company anticipates a slight decline in non-GAAP gross margins to approximately 75% in Q4 2025, down from 76.4% in Q3 2025, due to a higher mix of lower-margin Taurus hardware [19] Conclusion - Astera Labs' strong fundamentals and expanding partnerships position it well in the connectivity solutions market, driven by rising AI demand [17] - However, macroeconomic uncertainties and competitive pressures present ongoing challenges, alongside concerns regarding its stretched valuation [17]
ALAB Benefits From Strong Connectivity Demand: A Sign for More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-12-17 18:11
Core Insights - Astera Labs (ALAB) is rapidly expanding its portfolio to meet the increasing demands for AI infrastructure and connectivity solutions, driven by strong demand for its PCIe solutions [1][11] Group 1: Product Development and Market Position - The company has announced plans to deliver custom connectivity solutions tailored for next-generation AI infrastructure, collaborating with hyperscalers to support NVLink connectivity [2] - ALAB's Intelligent Connectivity Platform is being enhanced with custom solutions, utilizing COSMOS software-defined architecture and new photonic chiplet features for diverse, high-performance rack-scale systems [3] - The Scorpio P-Series fabric switches have seen robust demand, particularly for PCIe Gen 6 scale-out applications, with new design wins across multiple hyperscaler customers and AI platforms [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - The Aries PCIe 6 smart retimer solutions contributed over 20% of third-quarter 2025 revenues, showcasing the company's leadership in the connectivity space [5] - ALAB shares have increased by 54.9% over the past six months, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 22.1% [9] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is $1.78 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 111.90% [14] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - ALAB faces stiff competition from industry players like Broadcom and Marvell Technology, both of which are making significant advancements in the connectivity space [6] - Broadcom is expanding its PCIe retimers market presence with advanced solutions that enhance signal quality and extend PCIe connections [7] - Marvell Technology has introduced active copper cable linear equalizers that improve efficiency for in-rack AI interconnects, supporting 800G and 1.6T copper links [8] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - ALAB stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 21.28X compared to the Internet - Software industry's 4.75X [12]