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Tempus AI: Revenue Mix and 2026 Growth Outlook Explained
ZACKS· 2025-12-05 15:46
Core Insights - Tempus AI operates at the intersection of clinical genomics and AI-driven insights, with significant revenue growth and improving margins in 2024, attracting investor attention on its earnings potential [1][8]. Company Overview - Tempus AI is a healthcare technology company focused on precision medicine through AI, aggregating multimodal clinical and lab data to provide solutions to various stakeholders [2]. - The company’s operations include Genomics, which covers oncology and hereditary testing, and Data and services, which commercialize de-identified datasets and analytics [2]. Sales Performance - In 2024, Tempus generated approximately $693 million in revenue, a 30% increase from 2023, with Genomics contributing about $451.7 million (65%) and Data and services about $241.6 million (35%) [3][8]. - Revenue is projected to reach $1.6 billion by 2026, driven by increased testing volumes and scaled data products [3][8]. Profitability and Earnings Quality - The company achieved non-GAAP profitability in Q3, with expectations for narrowing EPS losses through 2026, despite remaining negative on a GAAP basis [4][8]. - The trajectory indicates a loss of 17 cents per share in 2027, following deeper losses in 2024 and narrower losses in 2025 [4]. Investor Outlook - Recent performance has shown solid execution, with a 31% EPS surprise and a 2.4% sales surprise, which may bolster investor confidence [5]. - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3-Hold, indicating a neutral near-term outlook, with momentum performing better than valuation and growth [6]. Competitive Landscape - Key competitors include Exact Sciences and Guardant Health, which operate in adjacent markets and influence competitive dynamics in precision oncology solutions [11].