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Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ): Our Calculation of Intrinsic Value
Acquirersmultiple· 2025-09-12 04:15
Company Profile - Verizon Communications Inc. is a leading telecommunications company in the United States, providing wireless, broadband, and enterprise services. The company is recognized for its stable cash flows and consistent dividend payments, maintaining a strong market position amidst a competitive telecom landscape and significant capital expenditure requirements [2]. DCF Analysis - The DCF model inputs include a discount rate of 10%, a terminal growth rate of 3%, and a WACC of 10%. The forecasted free cash flows (in billions) are as follows: - 2025: $20.0 → PV: $18.18 - 2026: $21.0 → PV: $17.36 - 2027: $22.0 → PV: $16.54 - 2028: $23.0 → PV: $15.77 - 2029: $24.0 → PV: $15.04 - The total present value of free cash flows is $82.89 billion. The terminal value, calculated using the perpetuity growth model, is $353.14 billion, leading to a present value of terminal value of $221.80 billion. The enterprise value is thus $304.69 billion [3][4]. Net Debt and Equity Value - Verizon's financials show cash of $4.19 billion and total debt of $168.36 billion, resulting in net debt of $164.17 billion. The equity value is calculated as $304.69 billion minus net debt, equating to $140.52 billion. With 4.20 billion shares outstanding, the intrinsic value per share is $33.46 [4]. Conclusion - The DCF value of Verizon is $33.46, while the current stock price is $43.80, indicating a margin of safety of -24%. Despite generating reliable free cash flows and maintaining a leading position in the telecom sector, the stock trades above the conservative intrinsic value estimate, suggesting limited upside based on this DCF model [5].