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Bargain Buy or Risky Bet? Bath & Body Works Slides to 52-Week Low
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-12 16:40
Core Viewpoint - Bath & Body Works (BBWI) has seen a significant decline in stock price since its peak in November 2021, raising questions about its valuation and future growth potential [4][5][6]. Financial Performance - In fiscal 2021, Bath & Body Works reported sales of $7.88 billion, which was 23% higher than 2020 and 46% higher than 2019 [3]. - The company's net income for 2021 was $1.33 billion, translating to earnings of $4.88 per share [3]. - The stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio was 16.8 times its earnings in November 2021, which is considered reasonable for a company with double-digit growth [2]. Market Position - The stock hit a 20-year high of $82 in November 2021 but has since fallen to one-quarter of that value, indicating a significant loss of market confidence [6]. - BBWI's stock has reached 25 new 52-week lows in the past year, reflecting ongoing challenges in the market [5][6]. Growth Trends - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for sales was 9.3% from 2015 to 2018, increased to 18.2% from 2018 to 2021, but has since declined to -2.5% from 2021 to 2024 [7]. - Despite the decline, projected sales for 2024 are expected to be $7.31 billion, which is still 35% higher than 2019 sales of $5.41 billion [8]. Operational Metrics - In Q2 2025, Bath & Body Works reported a gross margin of 43.3%, which is an improvement of 90 basis points year-over-year, but its operating margin was only 12.4% [9]. - The company has a total debt of $4.99 billion, which is 109% of its market cap, raising concerns about its financial health [13]. Strategic Focus - The new CEO, Daniel Heaf, has been in position for six months and is expected to implement strategies aimed at accelerating growth and enhancing operational excellence [9][10]. - The company is focusing on three priority areas: top-line growth, operational excellence, and deploying cash flow for growth and shareholder value [10]. Capital Allocation - In the first half of the fiscal year, Bath & Body Works paid out $85 million in dividends and repurchased $254 million of its shares, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [14]. - The company repaid $522 million of its debt in 2024 but has not made significant debt repayments in 2025 so far [16]. Analyst Sentiment - Among 17 analysts covering BBWI, 11 have rated it a Buy, with no sell recommendations, suggesting a generally positive outlook despite current challenges [12].