Core Insights - AGNC Investment Corp. is set to report its second-quarter 2025 earnings on July 21, with earnings per share (EPS) expected at 42 cents, reflecting a 20.8% decline year-over-year [1][3][6] - The company's first-quarter 2025 results showed an improvement in average asset yield, but its net book value per common share decreased compared to the prior-year quarter [1][6] - AGNC's earnings history indicates it outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate once in the last four quarters, missed twice, and matched once, with an average negative surprise of 3.27% [1][2] Earnings and Revenue Estimates - The consensus estimate for AGNC's revenues is $254.2 million, a significant increase from negative revenues of $3 million reported in the same quarter last year [4][7] - Interest income is projected to rise by 4.5% due to higher prepayment rates and net premium amortization [6][7] Market Trends and Performance - Despite interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024, mortgage rates remained stable in the mid-to-upper 6% range, leading to growth in refinancing activities and origination volumes [5][6] - The primary-secondary spread averaged 1.06% in Q2 2025, slightly lower than the previous quarter's average of 1.12%, indicating market volatility [8][9] Valuation and Investment Outlook - AGNC's stock is currently trading at 1.08X forward 12 months price/tangible book TTM, which is above the industry average of 0.98X, suggesting a relatively expensive valuation [16][19] - The company offers a high dividend yield of 15.47%, significantly above the industry average of 11.8%, making it an attractive option for income-seeking investors [21] Strategic Positioning - AGNC is positioned to benefit from an active portfolio-management policy, focusing on leveraged investments in Agency residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) [20] - Expected interest rate cuts in 2025 may enhance AGNC's net interest spread and book value, providing a potential boost to its stock performance [21]

Core Insights - Zacks Premium provides various tools for investors to enhance their stock market engagement and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to complement the Zacks Rank, helping investors identify stocks with the potential to outperform the market [3][4] Zacks Style Scores Overview - The Zacks Style Scores categorize stocks into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [4][5][6][7] - Value Score emphasizes finding undervalued stocks using financial ratios [4] - Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future growth potential [5] - Momentum Score identifies trends in stock prices and earnings estimates [6] - VGM Score combines all three styles to provide a comprehensive evaluation of stocks [7] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank utilizes earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in stock selection, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks achieving an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8][9] - There are over 800 stocks rated 1 or 2, which can be overwhelming for investors [10] Stock Example: Annaly Capital Management (NLY) - Annaly Capital Management is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) with a diverse portfolio including mortgage-related securities [13] - NLY holds a 3 (Hold) rating on the Zacks Rank and has a VGM Score of B, along with a Value Style Score of B, indicating attractive valuation metrics [14] - The company has seen an upward revision in earnings estimates, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.87 per share for fiscal 2025 [14] - Given its solid Zacks Rank and favorable Style Scores, NLY is recommended for investors' consideration [15]

Company Overview - Annaly Capital Management, Inc. is a mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that primarily owns, manages, and finances a portfolio of real-estate-related investment securities [12] - The company's investment portfolio includes mortgage pass-through certificates, collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), credit risk transfer (CRT), and other securities backed by pools of mortgage loans [12] Zacks Rank and Style Scores - Annaly Capital Management is currently rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank, with a VGM Score of B [13] - The company has a Value Style Score of B, supported by attractive valuation metrics such as a forward P/E ratio of 6.61, which may appeal to value investors [13] - Three analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.06 to $2.87 per share [13] Investment Potential - Annaly Capital Management boasts an average earnings surprise of 2.6%, indicating potential for positive performance [13] - With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Value and VGM Style Scores, Annaly Capital Management is suggested to be on investors' short list [14]