+852-2978-1802 | andrew.tilton@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Hui Shan +852-2978-6634 | hui.shan@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Lisheng Wang +852-3966-4004 | lisheng.wang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Xinquan Chen +852-2978-2418 | xinquan.chen@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. 21 July 2025 | 7:45AM HKT China: Consumer Dashboard 2025Q2: Household income growth slowed amid increased US tariffs (Yang) Andrew Tilton Yuting Yang +852-2978-7283 | yuting.y.yang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Chel ...

Key Takeaways LHX's IMS unit revenue is expected to fall 8.5% YoY, dragging on overall Q2 results. Three other segments-AR, SAS, and Communication Systems-are forecasted to post revenue growth. Earnings are projected to drop 23.5% YoY despite a slight 0.1% rise in total sales.L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) is slated to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 24, 2025, before market open.It has a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 2.27%. The strong top-line performance across three of ...

Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers various tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors identify stocks with the potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - Stocks are rated based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, with scores ranging from A to F, where A indicates the highest potential for outperformance [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] Value Score - The Value Score identifies attractive stocks based on valuation ratios such as P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow, appealing to value investors [3] Growth Score - The Growth Score assesses stocks based on projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow, targeting growth investors [4] Momentum Score - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on price trends and earnings outlook changes, focusing on short-term price movements [5] VGM Score - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores to provide a comprehensive rating, highlighting stocks with strong value, growth, and momentum characteristics [6] Zacks Rank Integration - The Zacks Rank utilizes earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in stock selection, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks historically yielding an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988 [7][8] - To maximize returns, investors should consider stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 alongside Style Scores of A or B [9] Stock Highlight: Garmin (GRMN) - Garmin, based in Olathe, Kansas, is rated 3 (Hold) on the Zacks Rank and has a VGM Score of A, indicating potential for momentum investors [11] - Recent upward revisions in earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 have increased the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $0.08 to $7.99 per share, with an average earnings surprise of 17.7% [12]

16 June 2025 | 1:21PM HKT China: Strong retail sales, softer industrial production and investment in May Bottom line: China's May industrial production (IP) and fixed asset investment (FAI) missed market consensus modestly, while retail sales beat meaningfully. IP growth moderated in May on the back of slowing export growth due to increased US tariffs, led by slower output growth in electrical machinery and chemical manufacturing industries. FAI growth declined further, weighed on mainly by slower infrastru ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of utilizing Zacks Premium for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence in investing [1][2] Zacks Style Scores - Zacks Style Scores are indicators designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market within a 30-day timeframe, rated from A to F based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics [3] - The Value Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios such as P/E, PEG, and Price/Sales [4] - The Growth Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook by analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [5] - The Momentum Score capitalizes on price trends and earnings outlook changes, using metrics like one-week price change and monthly earnings estimate changes [6] - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for investors seeking attractive value, growth, and momentum [7] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that leverages earnings estimate revisions to guide investors in portfolio creation [8] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically produced an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [9] - There are over 800 stocks rated 1 or 2, which can be overwhelming for investors, highlighting the need for Style Scores to aid in stock selection [10] Stock Example: Garmin (GRMN) - Garmin, Ltd. is identified as a stock to watch, currently rated 3 (Hold) with a VGM Score of B, and a Momentum Style Score of A, having increased by 5.2% in the past four weeks [12] - Analysts have revised Garmin's earnings estimate upward for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate rising by $0.08 to $7.94 per share, and an average earnings surprise of 17.7% [13]

Core Viewpoint - The current market volatility presents investment opportunities, particularly in stocks like Motorola Solutions, which has seen a significant decline due to exaggerated tariff concerns [2][4]. Company Overview - Motorola Solutions is a leader in the public safety sector, providing essential communication and security equipment, including land-mobile radio (LMR) systems, video security, and command center solutions [4][5]. - The company has achieved substantial growth, with its stock being an eight-bagger over the last decade [4]. Market Position - Motorola has a strong presence in public safety, with 5 million cameras deployed across 300,000 sites and 60% of 911 call centers in the U.S. utilizing its products [5][6]. - The company derives 70% of its sales from public safety agencies, ensuring a stable revenue stream from essential services [6][7]. Product Resilience - Motorola's products are designed to be resilient during economic downturns, with essential offerings like LMR networks and police body cameras that remain in demand even during crises [7][8]. - The recurring revenue from software and services has increased from 21% in 2015 to 36% today, indicating a shift towards higher-margin offerings [8][10]. Financial Performance - The company's free cash flow (FCF) margin has improved from 13% in 2016 to a projected 21% in 2025, enhancing financial stability [8][10]. - Motorola has a cash return on invested capital (ROIC) of 31%, ranking in the top 10% among S&P 500 peers, showcasing effective capital management [12]. Mergers and Acquisitions - Since 2015, Motorola has invested $7 billion in acquiring 29 businesses, demonstrating a successful track record in M&A that strengthens its market position [11][12]. - The company's ability to integrate new businesses effectively allows for diversification and fortification of its public safety offerings [12]. Dividend Growth - Motorola has a history of increasing dividends for 12 consecutive years, with a current yield of 1% that has the potential to grow significantly over time [13][15]. - The company allocates only 30% of its FCF to dividends, providing ample room for future increases while maintaining cash for other investments [16][17]. - The shift towards higher-margin software and services is expected to further enhance FCF and margins, allowing for continued dividend growth [17].

Core Viewpoint - L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (LHX) reported strong adjusted earnings for Q1 2025, exceeding expectations, but faced revenue challenges due to divestitures and segment performance variations [1][3][11]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share for Q1 2025 were $3.47, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.32 by 3.9% and increasing 7.1% from $2.25 in the previous year [1]. - GAAP earnings were reported at $2.04 per share, up from $1.48 in the prior-year period [1]. - Total revenues for L3Harris were $5.13 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.23 billion by 1.9% and down 1.5% from $5.21 billion year-over-year [3]. Segmental Performance - Integrated Mission Systems reported net revenues of $1.59 billion, a 2% decline year-over-year, but operating income increased to $203 million from $185 million, with an operating margin of 12.8% [4][5]. - Space and Airborne Systems had net revenues of $1.61 billion, an 8% decline year-over-year, with operating income dropping to $176 million and an operating margin of 10.9% [6]. - Communication Systems saw a 4% increase in net revenues to $1.35 billion, with operating income improving to $345 million and an operating margin of 25.5% [7]. - Aerojet Rocketdyne reported revenues of $629 million, an 8% year-over-year increase, but operating income slightly decreased to $76 million with an operating margin of 12.1% [8]. Financial Position - As of March 28, 2025, L3Harris had $517 million in cash and cash equivalents, down from $615 million as of January 3, 2025 [9]. - Long-term debt decreased to $10.98 billion from $11.08 billion [10]. - Adjusted free cash flow for Q1 2025 was $72 million, down from $156 million in the same quarter of 2024 [10]. 2025 Guidance - L3Harris updated its revenue guidance for 2025 to a range of $21.40-$21.70 billion, lower than the previous guidance of $21.80-$22.20 billion [11]. - The company expects adjusted earnings to be in the range of $10.30-$10.50, with the consensus estimate at $10.57 per share [12]. - The adjusted segment operating margin is anticipated to be in the mid-to-high 15% range, with expected adjusted free cash flow between $2.40 billion and $2.50 billion [12].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Household disposable income grew by 5.5% year-over-year in Q1 2025, slightly down from 5.6% in Q4 2024, while nominal consumption growth increased to 5.2% year-over-year from 4.5% in the previous quarter [3][4] - The labor market remained stable in Q1 2025, with urban unemployment rates increasing slightly, particularly in large cities [18][20] - The household savings rate decreased in Q1 2025, falling below pre-Covid trend levels, with estimated cumulative excess savings at RMB 3.0 trillion [32][39] - Consumer confidence showed a slight uptick but remained muted, reflecting ongoing economic uncertainties [46][48] Summary by Sections Income and Spending - Household disposable income growth decelerated to 5.5% year-over-year in Q1 2025, while nominal consumption growth accelerated to 5.2% [3][4] - Per capita household consumption growth accelerated to +9.3% quarter-over-quarter annualized in Q1, driven by increased spending on food, clothing, education, culture, and entertainment [3][11] Employment - The labor market was stable, with urban unemployment rates slightly increasing after seasonal adjustments [18][20] - The migrant worker population grew marginally in Q1 2025, and several provinces increased minimum monthly wages, providing a boost to household disposable income [24][28] Household Savings - The household savings rate fell below pre-Covid trend levels, with excess savings estimated at RMB 3.0 trillion [32][39] - There are RMB 52 trillion in excess deposits in household bank deposits, with growth remaining stable [35][41] Consumer Confidence - The consumer confidence index increased slightly in early 2025, supported by consumption-boosting measures and improved property sales in top-tier cities [3][46] - Significant divergence in residential population changes was noted across provinces, with Guangdong seeing the most growth and Shandong the largest decline [49][50]