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Arista Stock Falls On Small Q3 Beat, Underwhelming Guidance
Investors· 2025-11-05 14:44
Core Insights - Arista Networks reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that exceeded estimates, driven by increased capital spending in artificial intelligence, but the stock fell due to underwhelming revenue guidance [1][3][5] - The company anticipates a 2% sequential growth in fourth-quarter revenue, exceeding consensus estimates by $20 million [2][4] - Arista's management reiterated its long-term growth targets, expecting AI revenue to reach $1.5 billion in 2025 and $2.75 billion in 2026, with overall revenue growth projected at 20% for fiscal 2026 [3][4] Financial Performance - For the three months ending September 30, Arista's earnings rose 25% to $0.75 per share on an adjusted basis, while revenue increased 27% to $2.308 billion [3][5] - Analysts had estimated earnings per share of $0.72 on revenue of $2.26 billion, with the current quarter's revenue guidance set at $2.35 billion, slightly above estimates of $2.33 billion [4][5] Market Position - Arista's primary customers include major tech firms like Microsoft and Meta Platforms, and the company is expanding its presence in the enterprise market [6] - The company faces competition from Nvidia, which is also targeting the AI networking market, bundling its products with AI accelerators [7] Stock Performance - Following the earnings report, Arista's stock dropped nearly 6% to $144.55, despite a 38% increase in 2025 prior to the report [5] - Arista holds a Composite Rating of 99, indicating strong growth potential, and an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of C, suggesting neutral institutional buying activity [8][9]
Arista Stock Falls As Nvidia Wins Meta, Oracle Orders For AI Networking Chips
Investors· 2025-10-14 12:00
Core Viewpoint - Arista Networks' shares have declined following Nvidia's announcement that Oracle and Meta will utilize its Spectrum-X Ethernet networking devices for AI data centers, despite a significant increase in Arista's stock earlier in 2025 [1][7]. Company Performance - Arista's stock has seen a 33% increase in 2025 but has retreated from a record high of 162.68 set on October 10 [1][7]. - The stock fell 4.3% on Monday and an additional 2.5% in early trading, indicating a broader market decline [7]. Customer Base and Market Position - Arista's primary customers for network switches are Microsoft and Meta, with Oracle emerging as a potential new customer due to its AI infrastructure deals [2]. - The company competes with Cisco Systems, Hewlett Packard Enterprises, and Celestica in the networking market [6]. Revenue Growth Projections - Arista forecasts a 20% revenue growth for fiscal 2026, projecting revenues of $10.5 billion, slightly above consensus estimates [4]. - The company anticipates a 70% growth in AI networking revenue in 2026, reaching approximately $2.75 billion, up from $1.5 billion in the current year [4]. Long-term Outlook - For fiscal years 2026 to 2029, Arista expects "mid-teens" revenue growth, which some analysts consider conservative [5]. - The company predicts long-term operating margins between 43% and 45%, about four percentage points lower than in 2025 [5]. Competitive Landscape - Both Arista and Nvidia are targeting the emerging market for back-end Ethernet networking technology for AI server clusters in cloud data centers [3]. - Nvidia's strategy includes bundling its Spectrum-X devices with AI accelerators, enhancing its competitive position [3]. Stock Ratings - Arista stock holds a Composite Rating of 99, indicating strong growth potential [9]. - The Accumulation/Distribution Rating for Arista is B, suggesting significant institutional buying activity [9].
Arista Stock Reverses Down Amid Analyst Day Touting AI Growth Outlook
Investors· 2025-09-12 14:41
Core Insights - Arista Networks (ANET) forecasts a 20% revenue growth in fiscal 2026, reaching $10.5 billion, slightly above consensus estimates [1] - The company predicts a 70% growth in AI networking revenue to approximately $2.75 billion in 2026, up from $1.5 billion in 2025, which some analysts consider conservative [2] - Arista's stock experienced volatility, initially rising but then falling by 7% to $142.33, following a 37% increase in 2025 [3] Financial Projections - For fiscal years 2026 to 2029, Arista expects "midteens" revenue growth and long-term operating margins between 43% to 45%, about four points lower than in 2025 [4] - Several Wall Street firms, including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, raised their price targets for Arista stock following the analyst day [5] Competitive Landscape - Arista competes with Cisco Systems, Juniper Networks, and Nvidia in the AI Ethernet networking market [6] - The company is gaining traction in the enterprise market, which includes large companies and government agencies, supported by its acquisition of VeloCloud [8] Market Position and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts express optimism about Arista's growth potential, particularly in AI and enterprise markets, with a significant opportunity for market share gains [9] - Arista is recognized as a strong player in the AI sector, with a favorable technical rating of 99 according to IBD [11]