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4 Stocks to Watch in a Rapidly Shifting Outpatient Home Health Space
ZACKSยท 2025-07-02 15:10
Core Insights - The Zacks Medical - Outpatient and Home Healthcare industry is experiencing a significant shift towards digital healthcare, driven by rising demand for telemedicine and AI-powered services, particularly due to an aging global population and increasing healthcare costs [1][4][9]. Industry Overview - The industry includes companies providing outpatient care and home healthcare services, utilizing advanced medical technologies for diagnosis and treatment. The sector has shown steady growth post-pandemic, supported by innovation and the shift towards value-based care models [3][6]. - The global home healthcare market was valued at $390.24 billion in 2023, with an expected CAGR of approximately 7.9% from 2024 to 2030 [1]. Major Trends - **Aging Population**: The growing elderly population is a primary driver for home healthcare services, increasing the demand for chronic disease management and rehabilitation [4]. - **Cost Effectiveness**: Outpatient clinics offer cost-effective care, supported by financial incentives from health plans and government programs [5]. - **AI Integration**: AI is enhancing healthcare delivery, with outpatient companies utilizing automated systems for better patient outcomes and efficiency [7]. - **Technological Advancements**: Virtual assistants and chatbots are becoming integral in patient care, aiding in appointment scheduling and medication compliance [8]. Challenges - **Staffing Shortages**: The U.S. healthcare sector faces significant staffing shortages, particularly among home health aides, exacerbated by high burnout rates [10]. - **Tariff Impact**: New U.S. tariffs have increased costs for imported medical supplies, straining home healthcare providers and leading to operational challenges [11]. Market Performance - The industry has outperformed its sector but underperformed compared to the S&P 500, gaining 6.8% over the past year versus the S&P 500's 12.1% gain [14]. - The industry is currently trading at a forward P/E of 19.8X, lower than the S&P 500's 22.3X [18]. Notable Companies - **Quest Diagnostics**: Expected revenue growth of 9.2% for 2025, with a strong return on equity (ROE) of 15.1% [22][23]. - **Encompass Health**: Anticipated revenue growth of 9.5% for 2025, with an ROE of 17.6% [25][26]. - **The Pennant Group**: Projected revenue growth of 23.3% for 2025, with an ROE of 10.7% [29][30]. - **DaVita**: Expected revenue growth of 5.2% for 2025, with a notably high ROE of 176.1% [33][34].