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Tractor Supply Stock Looks Like a Buy-and-Hold Winner
MarketBeatยท 2025-10-25 17:06
Core Insights - Tractor Supply Company (TSCO) is positioned as a strong buy-and-hold stock for 2026 due to its effective operations, profitable growth, sustained cash flow, and annual increases in shareholder distributions [3][4] Financial Performance - In Q3, Tractor Supply reported a revenue increase of 7.2%, setting a record for the business, with a comparable store gain of 3.9% and improvements in ticket count and averages [4][5] - Operating income grew by 5.6%, net income by 7.4%, and adjusted earnings by 8.6%, with reported EPS of 49 cents, outperforming consensus by nearly 200 basis points [6][7] Capital Returns - The company has a dividend yield of 1.63% and an annual dividend of $0.92, with a dividend payout ratio of 45.10% [9][10] - Capital returns, including dividends and buybacks, annualized at approximately 2.9% in Q3, with buybacks reducing share count by 1.1% year-over-year [10][11] Market Sentiment - Analyst coverage has increased, with a consensus price target near $62.50, indicating potential for a 27% share price increase [12] - Following the Q3 release, the stock exhibited bullish price action, recovering from initial losses and advancing over 5% [13][14] Future Outlook - The guidance for future growth is cautious but indicates capacity for sustaining capital returns, with expectations of continued strength in consumer spending heading into the holiday season [8][10]