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Can an Expanding Portfolio Help Microchip Stock to Rise in 2026?
ZACKS· 2026-01-20 19:42
Core Insights - Microchip Technology (MCHP) shares have increased by 28% over the past year, slightly underperforming the Zacks Semiconductor – Analog and Mixed industry's return of 28.7% but outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector's appreciation of 24.7% [1] - The company is facing challenges due to a tough macroeconomic environment and high inventory levels, with channel inventory at 199 days at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026 and underutilization at $51 million [1] Group 1: Product Developments - Microchip's expanding portfolio is expected to enhance its prospects, with Silicon Storage Technology (SST) and United Microelectronics completing production requirements for SST's embedded Superflash Gen 4, which has full automotive grade 1 capability [2] - The company has launched the JANPTX family of non-hermetic plastic Transient Voltage Suppressor devices, which meet MIL-PRF-19500 qualification for aerospace and defense applications [3] - A custom-designed software for the MEC1723 Embedded Controller has been introduced to support NVIDIA DGX Spark personal AI supercomputers, optimizing system management for AI workloads [4] Group 2: Financial Performance and Guidance - Microchip expects net sales of approximately $1.185 billion for Q3 fiscal 2026, exceeding its previous guidance of $1.109 to $1.149 billion [7] - The revised sales guidance indicates a broad recovery across most end markets, supported by improved inventory conditions and strong bookings in December [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 fiscal 2026 net sales is $1.19 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 15.5% [9] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is benefiting from growing AI investments, with strong sales growth in its Gen 4 and Gen 5 data center products, including the launch of a 3-nanometer-based PCIe Gen 6 switch [5] - A restructuring plan is in place, including the closure of Fab 2 and the transfer of process technologies to Fab 4 and Fab 5, which is expected to save $25 million annually [6]