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Sell FedEx Stock Before Its Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-09-16 10:15
Core Insights - FedEx is scheduled to announce its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on September 18, 2025, with historical stock performance showing a tendency to decline post-announcement [2][3] - Analysts project earnings of $3.64 per share and sales of $21.7 billion for Q1 2026, compared to $3.60 per share and $21.6 billion in the same quarter last year [3] - FedEx has a current market capitalization of $55 billion, with $88 billion in revenue, $6.0 billion in operating profits, and a net income of $4.1 billion over the past twelve months [4] Earnings Reaction History - Over the past five years, FedEx has recorded 19 earnings data points, with 8 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 42% occurrence of positive returns [7] - The median of positive returns is 6.6%, while the median of negative returns is -4.0% [7] - The percentage of positive returns increases to 45% when considering the last three years [7] Post-Earnings Returns - Historical data indicates correlations between 1-day, 5-day, and 21-day returns post-earnings, which can inform trading strategies [8][9] - A strategy based on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns may help traders make informed decisions following earnings announcements [8]