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APH Trades Near 52-Week High: Should Investors Still Buy the Stock?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-17 15:41
Core Insights - Amphenol (APH) shares have increased by 44.8% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics - Connectors industry and Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which appreciated by 42.7% and 8.4% respectively [1] - APH has outperformed peers such as CommScope, TE Connectivity, and Sensata Technologies Holding, which returned 44.2%, 23.4%, and 13.5% respectively [2] Stock Performance - APH shares closed at $100.55, near the 52-week high of $101 reached on July 15, 2025 [1] - The stock is trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [5] Business Growth Drivers - The Communications Solutions segment grew 91% year over year in Q1, driven by AI-driven datacom and mobile infrastructure demand [7][11] - Harsh Environment Solutions segment rose 38% in Q1, supported by defense spending and aircraft programs [7][12] - The Interconnect and Sensor Systems segment saw a 5% year-over-year increase, driven by electrification in transportation and rising electronic content in medical devices [13] Revenue Projections - Amphenol projects second-quarter 2025 sales to rise in the high-single-digit range, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at $4.97 billion, up 37.63% year over year [10] - The consensus estimate for the Communications Solutions segment is pegged at $2.48 billion for the upcoming quarter [11] - The Harsh Environment Solutions segment is expected to generate $1.32 billion in the second quarter [12] - The Interconnect and Sensor Systems segment is projected to reach $1.18 billion in revenues [13] Strategic Acquisitions - Amphenol has completed around 15 acquisitions over the past nine quarters, contributing 8% to revenues in 2024 [15] - The acquisition of CommScope's Andrew business is expected to add approximately 9 cents to 2025 earnings and enhance the communications segment [17] - The May 2024 acquisition of CIT expanded Amphenol's presence in defense, aerospace, and industrial markets [16] Earnings Guidance - Amphenol expects second-quarter 2025 earnings between 64 cents and 66 cents per share, with sales projected between $4.90 billion and $5 billion [18] - The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is pegged at $2.67 per share, indicating a 41.27% growth year over year [19] Valuation - Amphenol shares are trading at a forward 12-month Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 35.87X, higher than the sector's average of 27.64X [20] - Compared to peers, APH appears expensive, with CommScope, TE Connectivity, and Sensata Technologies Holding trading at P/E ratios of 7.28X, 19.90X, and 9.19X respectively [22] Conclusion - Amphenol's diversified end-market exposure, expanding interconnect portfolio, and strong acquisition execution support solid growth visibility [23] - Despite a rich valuation, consistent outperformance and scale advantages justify the premium [23]