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Brinker International Gains From Chili's Momentum Amid Cost Pressures
ZACKS· 2025-12-29 16:45
Core Insights - Brinker International (EAT) is experiencing strong performance at Chili's, driven by increased traffic, effective marketing, and improvements in food quality and in-restaurant experience [1] - The company's shares have risen by 18.1% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry's growth of 1.4% [2] - Fiscal 2026 earnings estimates have increased slightly to $11.74 per share, reflecting improving operating efficiencies and margin expansion despite challenges from rising costs and inflation [3] Factors Supporting Performance - Sales growth is being driven by a disciplined focus on food, service, and atmosphere, with consistent price-pointed offerings and strategic marketing initiatives [5] - In Q1 FY26, total revenues reached $1.35 billion, an 18.5% year-over-year increase, with same-store sales growth of 21.4% and a 13.1% increase in traffic [6] - Remodeling efforts are underway to enhance brand identity and guest experience, with pilot projects expected to complete by the end of the current quarter [10] - Menu innovation is contributing to traffic and brand relevance, with notable sales increases in upgraded offerings such as ribs and frozen Patrón Margaritas [11] Challenges Facing the Company - Total operating costs rose to $1.23 billion in Q1 FY26, up from $1.08 billion the previous year, indicating pressure from elevated costs [12] - Commodity inflation, particularly in food and beverages, has negatively impacted margins, with expectations for mid-single-digit inflation rates for fiscal 2026 [13]