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Innodata Before Q4 Earnings: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-02-23 14:51
Core Insights - Innodata Inc. (INOD) is set to release its fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 26, 2026, after market close [1] Financial Performance - Innodata reported a record third-quarter 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 24 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 71.4%. This is a decrease from the adjusted EPS of 51 cents in the same quarter last year [2] - Revenues for the third quarter reached $62.6 million, surpassing the consensus estimate by 4.6% and reflecting a year-over-year growth of 19.8% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $16.2 million from $13.9 million a year ago, indicating operational leverage [2] - The company maintains guidance for 45% or more year-over-year organic revenue growth in 2025 [2] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter EPS remains unchanged at 21 cents, indicating a 32.3% decline from the year-ago EPS of 31 cents. Revenue estimates for the quarter are pegged at $69.5 million, suggesting a 17.4% year-over-year growth [5] - For 2026, revenues are expected to increase by 25.9%, with EPS projected to grow by 27.8% [6] Market Dynamics - Fourth-quarter revenues are likely supported by ongoing expansion with large technology customers and strong demand for generative AI data engineering services. The company has highlighted significant deal momentum [8] - Anticipated contracts related to high-quality pre-training data could represent approximately $68 million in potential revenue across multiple customers, with some scaling expected through 2026 [9] - The launch of Innodata Federal and engagement with a new high-profile customer may contribute to early mobilization revenues in the fourth quarter [10] Profitability Factors - Scale benefits from expanding engagements with big tech and higher-value services are expected to support gross margin dynamics [12] - Investments in new capabilities, including federal expansion and advanced model safety offerings, may pressure selling and administrative costs in the near term [13] Stock Performance - INOD stock has gained 18.5% over the past six months, outperforming some industry peers but underperforming the Zacks Engineering - R and D Services industry [16] - Compared to competitors like Cognizant Technology Solutions and Infosys, INOD has shown stronger price resilience [17] - The stock is currently trading at a premium forward P/E compared to its industry [20] Investment Outlook - Despite solid operating momentum and strong organic growth expectations, the fourth-quarter EPS is projected to decline year over year, and the Earnings ESP stands at 0.00%, indicating no clear signal for another earnings beat [22]