Summary of Mobileye Global (MBLY) FY Conference Call - August 12, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Mobileye Global (MBLY) - **Industry**: Autonomous driving technology and Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) Key Points and Arguments Technology and Market Position - Mobileye's technology is at a pivotal point, similar to the early 2010s when ADAS technology was being introduced, with current consumer acceptance at approximately 75% [3][4] - The company is focused on executing programs with Volkswagen, utilizing production-level hardware and software to demonstrate technological maturity to other OEMs [4][5] - The design freeze for the supervision program is set for early 2026, allowing for full vehicle validation and homologation throughout 2026 [4] Competitive Landscape - Mobileye is leveraging its Compound AI approach, which includes simulation test vehicles and advanced decision-making logic to enhance reliability and performance [7][13] - The company acknowledges Tesla's advantage due to its direct vehicle production and rapid technology deployment [9] - Mobileye's software stack has seen significant improvements through the use of end-to-end transformer-based networks, enhancing both perception and driving policy [10] Customer Dynamics and OEM Relationships - OEMs are currently re-evaluating their technology portfolios, leading to a more segmented approach to ADAS and autonomous driving solutions [18][19] - Mobileye is positioned as a one-stop shop for OEMs, providing a unified technology platform that reduces costs and complexity for vehicle manufacturers [39][40] - The company is experiencing increased strategic clarity among OEMs regarding their technology needs and supplier criteria [41] Financial Guidance and Market Conditions - Mobileye reported strong performance in Q2 and provided cautious guidance for Q4 due to geopolitical uncertainties and potential production challenges [43][44] - The company has non-cancelable purchase orders for Q3 but is wary of potential inventory issues affecting Q4 [45] - The production forecast indicates a possible decrease in vehicle production among top customers, which could impact Mobileye's performance [47] Pricing Dynamics and Market Strategy - Pricing pressures are more pronounced in China, where OEMs are less confident in meeting ADAS performance targets [52][54] - In contrast, Mobileye does not foresee significant pricing pressure in Europe and the US due to rising safety standards and increasing functionality demands [56] - The company is focused on maintaining a balance between pricing and performance, ensuring that its offerings remain competitive while delivering value [56] Geopolitical and Competitive Landscape - There is a developing divide between systems developed in China and those in Europe or the US, influenced by geopolitical factors and data access limitations [59][60] - Mobileye maintains a competitive edge in the base ADAS market, with Western OEMs showing openness to using Western systems in China [61] Relationship with Intel - Mobileye's relationship with Intel remains strong, with Intel providing support while balancing its own financial needs [66] - The recent share sale by Intel was orderly, and Mobileye participated in buying back some shares, indicating confidence in its valuation [67][68] Additional Important Insights - The company is focused on creating a robust perception system with redundancy to enhance safety and reliability [31][32] - Mobileye is actively working on customer education regarding the complexities of autonomous technology and the importance of collaboration with technology providers [15][16] - The company is optimistic about future growth trajectories, with ongoing discussions and potential new customer engagements on the horizon [42]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q2 revenue increased by 15% year over year, driven by strong demand for the IQ product across regions and OEMs [6][21] - Adjusted operating income rose by 34%, with adjusted operating margin increasing by three points to 21% [6] - Operating cash flow exceeded $200 million for the quarter and over $300 million for the first half, representing about 33% of revenue [7] - Full year revenue outlook raised by 4% and adjusted operating income outlook increased by 14% at the midpoint [7][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core ADAS business maintained volumes at or above 8.5 million units per quarter for the last four periods [7] - Supervision volumes are expected to reach about 40,000 units at the midpoint, a significant increase from previous expectations [27][46] - The IQ six Lite chip is positioned as the future high-volume chip for the ADAS segment, with systems already deployed in multiple regions [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Demand for advanced products is increasing, with OEMs showing interest in transitioning from single camera programs to multi-camera surround ADAS bundles [10] - The company noted a growing demand from OEMs to consolidate ECUs and integrate technology on a single SoC [10] - The Chinese market showed improved performance, with IQ volumes in 2025 expected to be around 18.1 million units, reflecting a stable demand environment [22][68] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Mobileye is focusing on scaling its Robotaxi operations, with partnerships with OEMs like Volkswagen and demand generators like Uber and Lyft [17][56] - The company aims to leverage its unique technology and partnerships to achieve rapid scalability in the Robotaxi market [17][59] - The strategy includes transitioning from driver-operated vehicles to fully autonomous systems by 2026, with significant revenue expected in 2027 [46][126] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet safety and scalability goals for Robotaxi operations [12][13] - The operating environment is viewed positively, with no tangible headwinds anticipated for Q4 volumes [26] - OEMs are increasingly clarifying their planning and decision-making processes, indicating a more favorable outlook for the company's products [18] Other Important Information - The company is maintaining strong working capital discipline, with inventory levels closely monitored [24][90] - Management highlighted the importance of competitive pressure in driving OEMs to adopt new technologies [31][32] - The company is not expecting significant growth in operating expenses in the near future, indicating efficient resource allocation [72] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the momentum at Chauffeur and the slower decision-making in supervision? - Management noted a lack of competitive pressure in Europe and the U.S., which is causing OEMs to take their time with decisions [31][32] Question: What is driving the increase in supervision volume expectations? - The increase is attributed to better-than-expected vehicle sales from OEMs like Zika and Polestar [45] Question: How do you view the competitive landscape for Robotaxi? - Mobileye sees itself as a unique player in the market, with strong partnerships and a scalable business model [58][59] Question: What is the expected timeline for the launch of supervision and chauffeur programs? - Production for Audi's chauffeur program is expected to start in late 2026, with significant revenue anticipated in 2027 [46] Question: How does the company manage its capital expenditures? - Mobileye has a different philosophy regarding capital expenditures, focusing on efficient compute needs rather than high spending [96][98] Question: What is the lead time for securing awards in Surround Data? - The typical lead time is two to two and a half years from nomination to start of production [116]

Group 1 - Mobileye's stock has rebounded sharply over the past week despite a lack of material news, indicating market confidence [1] - The signing of the first imaging radar customer is a positive signal for Mobileye's underappreciated segment [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations and believes in achieving excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] Group 2 - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, particularly in smaller cap stocks [1] - The firm operates with a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon, targeting deeply undervalued stocks [1] - The aging population and low population growth are expected to create new investment opportunities, contrasting with past trends [1] Group 3 - Many industries may face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments [1] Group 4 - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1] - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, has a strong educational background in engineering, finance, and an MBA, along with passing the CFA exams [1]