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DoubleLine's Jeffrey Sherman on the Fed's TACO Trade & Fixed Income Strategy
Etftrends· 2026-03-23 14:33
Core Insights - The fixed income landscape is undergoing significant changes, with traditional strategies for inflation and interest rates being re-evaluated [1] - The Federal Reserve's current trajectory is a focal point, with skepticism about an immediate pivot in interest rates despite market expectations [2][3] Federal Reserve's Strategy - The market is adopting the "TACO trade" belief, anticipating that the Fed will lower rates when economic pain points are reached, but skepticism remains regarding the timing of such a move [2] - For the Fed to cut rates, a significant deterioration in the labor market is necessary, as current labor participation rates and unemployment claims are stable [3] Macroeconomic Factors - Three regressive taxes impacting American consumers have been identified: initial inflation, tariffs, and rising fuel prices, which are constraining economic growth [4] - Oil prices are highlighted as a critical factor influencing the rates market, with a potential threshold for the 10-year Treasury yield set at 5.002% [5] Private Market Risks - Concerns are raised about liquidity mismatches in private credit markets, particularly in products marketed to retail investors, which could lead to negative investor sentiment during redemption spikes [6][7] - The necessity of matching liquidity of underlying assets with redemption terms is emphasized, indicating that private credit should not be included in ETF structures [7] Strategic Positioning - Advisors are encouraged to focus on low-duration and ultra-short categories for high quality with less interest rate sensitivity, as well as the five-to-seven-year Treasury range to balance against economic slowdowns [9] - Emerging market local currency investments, yielding around 7%, are noted as attractive diversifiers for those willing to accept currency volatility [9] AI Trade Concerns - Caution is advised regarding AI-related investments in the bond market, as these often reside in riskier segments and may lead to disappointing returns if the current enthusiasm fades [10]
XA Investments Reports Record Growth in 2025 in its Fourth Quarter 2025 Market Update
Globenewswire· 2026-01-15 17:25
Core Insights - The interval and tender offer fund market has reached a new peak with 308 funds and $233 billion in net assets, indicating a growing popularity in recent years [2][4] - The market is expected to maintain strong growth into 2026, driven by increased demand for evergreen products and greater investor accessibility [4] Market Overview - The non-listed closed-end fund (CEF) market includes 158 interval funds, which account for 57% of total managed assets at $156.1 billion, and 150 tender offer funds, comprising 43% with $119.9 billion in total managed assets [4] - In 2025, 67 new funds entered the market, an increase of 17 compared to 50 funds launched in 2024, with market-wide net assets rising by $61 billion [4][5] Fund Sponsorship and Diversity - There are 159 unique fund sponsors in the interval and tender offer fund space, an increase of 13 from 146 at the end of 2024, with 36% of the funds launched in 2025 sponsored by new entrants [5] - The number of funds in the SEC registration process decreased from 53 at the end of 2024 to 50 at the end of 2025, indicating consistent market momentum [6] Fund Performance and Recognition - Many interval and tender offer funds showed strong results in 2025, with notable net flows and asset growth, including the Cliffwater Corporate Lending Fund and the StepStone Private Credit Income Fund [8] - The new XAI Interval Fund Awards recognized innovative offerings and top-performing funds, providing valuable insights into the growth and performance of the interval fund market [9][8]
BlackRock Regains Top Spot in the U.S. in Broadridge's Fund Brand 50 2025 Report
Prnewswire· 2025-03-25 12:45
Core Insights - The Broadridge Fund Brand 50 (FB50) report highlights the importance of brand strength in asset management, with fund selectors prioritizing 'Solidity' and 'Client-oriented thinking' when choosing asset managers [1][5][13] - BlackRock has overtaken Vanguard as the top asset management brand, marking a significant shift in fund selector preferences [2][6] - The study ranks asset managers based on ten brand attributes, revealing insights into the competitive landscape of the asset management industry [2][10] Brand Rankings - The top three U.S. asset management brands for 2025 are BlackRock, Vanguard, and Capital Group, with BlackRock moving up one position and Vanguard dropping one [3] - First Trust made notable progress, rising from 10th to 6th place, attributed to its innovative product offerings [6] Valued Attributes - The top three attributes valued by U.S. fund selectors are 'Solidity', 'Client-oriented thinking', and 'Appealing investment strategy', indicating a preference for stability and customer-centric approaches [5][13] - 'Experts in what they do' and 'Knowledge of the market where they operate' have gained importance, reflecting the need for specialized expertise in a complex investment landscape [13] Market Trends - Fund selectors are increasingly favoring large, established brands with diverse product offerings, as well as firms that can adapt to new market demands [7][13] - There is a growing consumer demand for new product types, including actively managed ETFs and model portfolios, influencing the rankings of asset managers [13] Additional Findings - Charles Schwab excelled in 'Client-oriented thinking', ranking 7th in this attribute despite an overall 17th place in the FB50 rankings [13] - The study indicates a continued willingness among fund selectors to explore new engagements, driven by steady performance and lower volatility [13]