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AT&T Earnings Due. Verizon Dividend At Risk Under New CEO? 'Convergence' Battle Looms.
Investors· 2025-10-21 11:31
Core Insights - The upcoming earnings reports for AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon are anticipated to provide insights into competitive dynamics in the telecom sector, particularly against the cable TV industry by 2026 [1][2][12] - Verizon's unexpected CEO transition to Dan Schulman raises questions about the company's strategic direction and potential impacts on its dividend policy [3][4][6] Company-Specific Summaries AT&T - AT&T's stock has increased by 14% this year, aligning with the S&P 500, but has seen a decline since mid-September [1] - The company is focusing on fiber expansion and has returned to its core telecom operations by divesting from satellite TV and WarnerMedia [15] T-Mobile - T-Mobile is expected to lead in Q3 subscriber additions, with an estimated 840,000 postpaid phone subscribers, compared to AT&T's 332,000 and Verizon's 47,000 [9][10] - The company is undergoing a leadership transition with Srinivasan Gopalan set to take over as CEO on Nov. 1, following Mike Sievert [3][7] Verizon - Verizon appointed Dan Schulman as CEO, replacing Hans Vestberg, which analysts view as a significant and unexpected change [3][4] - Analysts suggest that Schulman may prioritize aggressive fiber expansion, potentially impacting free cash flow and leading to a suspension of dividend growth [5][6] - Verizon's consumer business is under pressure due to subscriber losses to competitors, and the company anticipates closing its $20 billion acquisition of Frontier Communications by early 2026 [5][6] Industry Trends - The wireless competition is intensifying, with increased subsidies and trade-in promotions as companies respond to the launch of higher-priced iPhone models [8] - Analysts predict that 2026 will be a pivotal year for the telecom and cable sectors, with heightened competition in consumer connectivity services [12] - Telecom companies are aggressively expanding fiber networks and fixed wireless broadband services, which may lead to pricing and margin pressures in the market [13]