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Lumentum's Q2 Earnings Loom: Should the Stock Be in Your Portfolio?
ZACKS· 2026-01-30 15:46
Core Insights - Lumentum (LITE) is expected to report Q2 fiscal 2026 results on February 3, with projected revenues between $630 million and $670 million and non-GAAP earnings per share in the range of $1.30 to $1.50 [1][10] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $652.4 million, reflecting a 62.2% increase from the same quarter last year, while the earnings consensus is $1.41 per share, up by a penny over the past 30 days [2] - Lumentum reported earnings of 42 cents in the year-ago quarter [2] Growth Drivers - Over 60% of Lumentum's current revenues are derived from AI infrastructure and cloud demand, primarily driven by hyperscaler customers [8][10] - Strong demand for laser chips and optical transceivers is expected to continue, with significant contributions from data center interconnect (DCI) components [9][19] - Lumentum anticipates sustainable growth from cloud transceivers over the next four to five quarters, with a notable increase in narrow line width laser assemblies for DCI transmission, which rose 70% year over year [9][21] Market Performance - Lumentum shares have increased by 353.3% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Communication Components industry's return of 119.7% and the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's appreciation of 27.8% [13] - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 8.84X, which is higher than the industry average of 4.42X and peers like Ciena and Coherent [16] Future Prospects - The company expects continued strong demand for its laser chips, with a projected 40% increase in capacity at its indium phosphide-based wafer fab [20] - Lumentum's components are anticipated to remain the primary revenue and earnings growth drivers in the near term, supported by rapid scaling of systems with cloud transceivers and optical circuit switches [21] - The company holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and a Growth Score of A, indicating a favorable investment opportunity [22]