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Lumentum(LITE) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-03 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a record quarterly revenue of $665.5 million, representing over 65% year-over-year growth and a non-GAAP operating margin increase of more than 1,700 basis points [6][20] - Non-GAAP gross margin for the second quarter was 42.5%, up 310 basis points sequentially and 1,020 basis points year-on-year [21] - Non-GAAP operating margin was 25.2%, an increase of 650 basis points sequentially and 1,730 basis points year-on-year [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Components revenue reached $443.7 million, a 17% sequential increase and 68% year-over-year growth, driven by demand for laser chips and assemblies [24][14] - Systems revenue was $221.8 million, reflecting a 43% sequential increase and 60% year-over-year growth, primarily from cloud transceivers [24][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The order backlog for Optical Circuit Switches (OCS) surged past $400 million, with most shipments expected in the second half of the calendar year [9][30] - The company anticipates a significant increase in revenue from cloud applications, with guidance for Q3 revenue between $780 million and $830 million [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on three primary growth catalysts: cloud transceivers, OCS, and co-packaged optics (CPO), with a strong emphasis on scaling production capabilities [8][12] - A new growth driver, optical scale-up, is being developed to replace copper connections in data centers, expected to begin shipments by late 2027 [12][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in surpassing the previously projected $750 million quarterly revenue milestone, now expecting a midpoint of $805 million for March [7] - The company is actively negotiating with customers to secure long-term supply assurances, indicating strong demand for its technology [13][43] Other Important Information - The company is investing in manufacturing capacity to support cloud and AI customers, with a CapEx of $84 million in Q2 [24] - The company has established long-term agreements (LTAs) with customers, which have improved pricing stability and allowed for incremental pricing discussions [78][80] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide more details on the OCS market and the impact of price increases? - Management noted that the OCS market is developing better than expected, with a backlog exceeding $400 million and significant customer demand [30] - Price increases are positively impacting both top line and gross margin, although the overall revenue impact is modest [31] Question: What is the status of indium phosphide capacity ramp and potential new fabs? - The company confirmed that it has front-loaded capacity increases and is exploring options for new fabs to meet growing demand [38][43] Question: How is the transition to 1.6T transceivers progressing? - Management indicated strong demand for EMLs and silicon photonics, with expectations for continued growth in transceiver products [51][52] Question: What is the outlook for CPO and its competitive landscape? - The company feels confident in its position in the CPO market, highlighting the reliability of its products and the growing customer engagement [56][58] Question: How is the supply-demand imbalance affecting long-term agreements? - The supply-demand imbalance remains significant, with all EML capacity spoken for under LTAs, allowing for pricing flexibility [78][80]
Strong Components & Systems Growth Aids LITE Stock: More Upside Ahead?
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 18:50
Core Insights - Lumentum's (LITE) growth is significantly driven by strong demand for AI infrastructure, with over 60% of its current revenues coming from this sector, particularly from hyperscalers [1][10] - The company anticipates exceeding its revenue midpoint guidance of approximately $650 million sooner than previously expected [10] Group 1: Revenue and Growth Expectations - Lumentum expects fiscal second-quarter revenues to range between $630 million and $670 million, with earnings projected at $1.30 to $1.50 per share, indicating a 62.2% growth compared to the same quarter last year [4] - The growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 is expected to be evenly split between component products for cloud applications and systems products for data centers [3][10] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Lumentum faces competition from Ciena and Marvell Technology in the AI infrastructure market, with Ciena benefiting from increased customer spending due to the rise of AI applications [5][6] - Marvell Technology is capitalizing on the demand for scale-up switches that connect AI accelerators, which require high bandwidth and low latency [7] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Lumentum's stock has increased by 386.8% over the past year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which saw a return of 27.1% [8] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 8.6X, significantly higher than the Zacks Communications Components industry's average of 4.47X [11]
Lumentum Trades Near 52-Week High: Is the LITE Stock Still a Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-05 16:26
Core Insights - Lumentum Holdings (LITE) shares have surged 326.9% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Communication Components industry and the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector [1][8] - The company's strong financial performance, favorable industry trends, and robust fundamentals are key drivers of this growth [1] Company Performance - Lumentum's stock closed at $386.11, nearing its 52-week high of $401.60 [1] - The company has consistently outperformed competitors such as Ciena, Coherent, and Marvell Technology in the past year [3] - Fiscal Q2 revenues are projected to be between $630 million and $670 million, with earnings per share (EPS) guidance of $1.30 to $1.50 [8][15] Competitive Landscape - Lumentum is well-positioned against competitors like Coherent, Ciena, and Marvell Technology in the AI infrastructure market [2] - The company has a strong portfolio that helps it maintain a competitive edge in high-speed optical modules and transceivers [2] Valuation Metrics - Lumentum's forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 9.18X, significantly higher than the industry average of 3.85X and its peers [6] - The company's premium valuation is supported by its strong growth prospects [6] Growth Drivers - Over 60% of Lumentum's current revenues are derived from AI infrastructure and cloud applications, driven by demand from hyperscalers [13] - The company anticipates that half of its sequential growth in fiscal Q2 will come from component products serving cloud applications [15] - Strong demand for laser chips and optical transceivers is expected to continue, with record EML laser shipments reported [17][18] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal Q2 2026 earnings is $1.40 per share, reflecting a 21.7% increase over the past 60 days [19] - For fiscal Q3 2026, the earnings estimate is $1.52 per share, indicating an 18.8% rise from the previous year [20] Investment Outlook - Lumentum's expanding footprint in AI infrastructure supports its growth prospects and justifies its premium valuation [21] - The stock is rated as a strong buy, making it an attractive option for growth-oriented investors [21]
Lumentum Stock Rides on Strong AI Push: A Sign of More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-12-24 16:51
Core Insights - Lumentum (LITE) is experiencing strong demand for its laser chips and optical transceivers, primarily driven by AI infrastructure and cloud applications, with over 60% of its revenues coming from this sector [2][10] - The company anticipates fiscal Q2 2026 revenues between $630 million and $670 million, reflecting significant growth compared to the previous year [5][10] Company Performance - Lumentum's components business is thriving due to robust demand for laser chips and related products used in data centers and long-haul applications, with laser chip shipments expected to remain strong due to a 40% capacity increase at its indium phosphide-based wafer fab [3] - The company expects that approximately half of the sequential growth in Q2 2026 will come from component products for cloud applications, while the other half will be from systems products serving cloud customers [5] Competitive Landscape - Lumentum faces competition from Ciena and Marvell Technology in the AI infrastructure space, with both companies benefiting from increased customer spending and demand for bandwidth due to AI applications [6][7][8] - Ciena has raised its fiscal 2026 revenue outlook to $5.7-$6.1 billion, indicating nearly 24% growth at the midpoint, while Marvell Technology is gaining traction with its Alaska PCIe 6 retimer product line [7][8] Stock Performance and Valuation - Lumentum shares have appreciated 359.4% over the past year, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 21.6% [9] - The stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 9.29X compared to the industry average of 3.75X, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $12.59 per share, reflecting a 3.2% increase over the past month [12][14]
Here's Why Lumentum Stock Is a Promising Portfolio Pick Right Now
ZACKS· 2025-11-11 18:56
Core Insights - Lumentum (LITE) has shown significant stock performance, with shares increasing by 61.8% in the past month, outperforming the industry and broader sector [1] - Year-to-date, LITE shares have surged 209.5%, significantly outperforming peers such as Coherent and Ciena, while Marvell Technology has seen a decline [2] Financial Performance - Lumentum's first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues reached $533 million, with over 60% derived from AI infrastructure and cloud demand [3] - The components business reported revenues of $379 million, marking a 64% year-over-year increase and an 18% sequential rise, driven by strong demand for laser chips and related products [4] - The company anticipates fiscal second-quarter revenues between $630 million and $670 million, with expected earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $1.30 to $1.50 [9][10] Market Position and Growth Drivers - Lumentum's growth is fueled by strong demand for laser chips and optical transceivers, particularly in data centers and AI infrastructure [3][4] - The company is expanding its manufacturing capacity, expecting a 40% increase in laser chip production, which is anticipated to enhance earnings due to higher gross margins [5] - Lumentum is positioned as a leading provider of optics for AI scaling, with long-term growth expected from cloud transceivers and optical circuit switches [6] Competitive Landscape - Lumentum faces competition from Coherent, Ciena, and Marvell Technology in the AI infrastructure market, but its strong portfolio helps it maintain a competitive edge [7] - The company expects to capture a significant share of the market with its advanced optical modules and transceivers [7] Future Outlook - The company projects continued growth in AI infrastructure, with expectations of half of the sequential growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 coming from component products for cloud applications [8]
Lumentum(LITE) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-11-04 22:00
Q1 FY26 Results - The company's Q1 FY26 revenue reached $533.8 million[12, 13, 15], compared to $480.7 million in Q4 FY25[12, 13] and $336.9 million in Q1 FY25[12, 13], demonstrating a significant year-over-year increase of 64%[11] - GAAP gross margin was 34.0%[12], while non-GAAP gross margin was 39.4%[13] - GAAP operating income was $6.7 million[12], a significant improvement from an $82.4 million loss in Q1 FY25[12], while non-GAAP operating income was $99.8 million[13], compared to $10.0 million in Q1 FY25[13] - GAAP diluted EPS was $0.05[12], compared to $(1.21) in Q1 FY25[12], while non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.10[13], compared to $0.18 in Q1 FY25[13] Revenue Breakdown & Key Drivers - Systems revenue increased 47% year-over-year, driven by cloud transceivers[11] - Cloud and AI business is accelerating, driving Q1 revenue up 58% and expanding operating margin >1,500 bps (YoY basis)[11] - 3D sensing revenue is below 5% of total company revenue[11] Q2 FY26 Guidance - The company projects Q2 FY26 revenue between $630 million and $670 million[15] - The company anticipates a non-GAAP operating margin between 20.0% and 22.0% for Q2 FY26[15] - The company expects non-GAAP diluted EPS to be between $1.30 and $1.50 for Q2 FY26[15]