Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Ingredion (INGR) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Ingredion is expected to post quarterly earnings of $2.78 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 3.1%, while revenues are projected to reach $1.9 billion, an increase of 1.3% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.05% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Ingredion matches the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. - Despite a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), the lack of a positive Earnings ESP makes it challenging to predict a favorable outcome [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ingredion exceeded the expected earnings of $2.44 per share, achieving $2.97, which represented a surprise of +21.72% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Industry Comparison - Utz Brands (UTZ), another player in the food industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.19 per share, unchanged from the previous year, with revenues projected at $359.84 million, up 1% [18]. - Utz Brands has an Earnings ESP of -2.7% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - Ingredion reported quarterly earnings of $2.97 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.44 per share, and up from $2.08 per share a year ago, indicating strong performance despite revenue challenges [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved an earnings surprise of 21.72% for the quarter, having surpassed consensus EPS estimates in all of the last four quarters [2]. - Revenues for the quarter were $1.81 billion, which fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.63% and decreased from $1.88 billion year-over-year [3]. Stock Performance and Outlook - Ingredion shares have declined approximately 2.9% year-to-date, compared to a 3.9% decline in the S&P 500 [4]. - The company's earnings outlook is uncertain, with current consensus EPS estimates at $2.82 for the next quarter and $11.07 for the current fiscal year, alongside projected revenues of $1.9 billion and $7.51 billion respectively [8]. Industry Context - The Food - Miscellaneous industry, to which Ingredion belongs, is currently ranked in the top 31% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable industry outlook [9]. - The performance of Ingredion's stock may be influenced by the overall industry outlook, as top-ranked industries tend to outperform lower-ranked ones significantly [9].